Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Tre Stelle
Expected Goals
2.06 (league 1.17)
1.27 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.6% | 21.2% | 23.1% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 1
9.4%
2 - 0
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Rovato Vertovese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Desenzano Calvina | 0 | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Rovato Vertovese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 53% |
| Attack | 92% | 50% |
| Defense | 75% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Rovato Vertovese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 33% | 67% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 42% |
| Draws | 50% | 17% | 33% | 33% | 17% | 25% |
| Loses | 17% | 17% | 17% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Form: Desenzano Calvina: LDWDWLWWWDDW • Rovato Vertovese: WLDLLWWDLWWD
League goals
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Rovato Vertovese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 8 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 7 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Desenzano Calvina | Rovato Vertovese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 58% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 58% | 17% | 50% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Rovato Vertovese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Rovato Vertovese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Rovato Vertovese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Rovato Vertovese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 64.0% | 36.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Desenzano Calvina or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Desenzano Calvina = 2.06 (league 1.17), Rovato Vertovese = 1.27 (league 1.13)
| Rovato Vertovese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Desenzano Calvina | 0 | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.6% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 23.1%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1