Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Progresso
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.17) 0.74 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.7% 30.3% 22.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.2%
0 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Tuttocuoio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Progresso 0 14.4% 10.6% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.2% 12.8% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.3% 7.7% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.1% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricProgressoTuttocuoio
Played55
Form20%13%
Attack33%42%
Defense42%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Progresso Tuttocuoio
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins0%17%8%0%0%0%
Draws50%17%33%33%33%33%
Loses50%67%58%67%67%67%

Form: Progresso: LLDLLWLDDLDL • Tuttocuoio: DLLLDLLDLDLL

League goals

Metric Progresso Tuttocuoio
HATHAT
GF total4711448
GF avg0.71.20.90.70.70.7
GA total71118131225
GA avg1.21.81.52.22.02.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineProgressoTuttocuoio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%92%42%92%
1.525%42%25%75%
2.58%8%0%33%
3.50%8%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricProgressoTuttocuoio
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score325437

Penalties

MetricProgressoTuttocuoio
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricProgressoTuttocuoio
Wins10
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-2——
Biggest losses0-12-00-33-0
Goals For2322
Goals Against2443

Model comparison

MetricProgressoTuttocuoio
Form60%40%
Att44%56%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total46.3%53.7%

Advice: Double chance : Progresso or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Progresso = 1.20 (league 1.17), Tuttocuoio = 0.74 (league 1.13)

Tuttocuoio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Progresso 0 14.4% 10.6% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.2% 12.8% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.3% 7.7% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.1% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.7% · Draw 30.3% · Away win 22.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1