Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Marcello Melani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.20) 0.52 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.8% 32.2% 16.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.7%
0 - 0
19.1%
2 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Pro Sesto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pistoiese 0 19.1% 10.0% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.7% 11.3% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.3% 6.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPistoiesePro Sesto
Played55
Form73%73%
Attack90%80%
Defense60%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pistoiese Pro Sesto
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins50%57%54%57%50%54%
Draws50%43%46%43%33%38%
Loses0%0%0%0%17%8%

Form: Pistoiese: DWWWDDWDDWWWD • Pro Sesto: WWWDDLWDWDDWW

League goals

Metric Pistoiese Pro Sesto
HATHAT
GF total10142411718
GF avg1.72.01.81.61.21.4
GA total369257
GA avg0.50.90.70.30.80.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePistoiesePro Sesto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%54%69%38%
1.546%15%38%15%
2.531%0%23%0%
3.515%0%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPistoiesePro Sesto
HATHAT
Clean sheets336538
Failed to score101224

Penalties

MetricPistoiesePro Sesto
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPistoiesePro Sesto
Wins33
Draws22
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-44-01-3
Biggest losses———2-0
Goals For4443
Goals Against1212

Model comparison

MetricPistoiesePro Sesto
Form50%50%
Att53%47%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h20%80%
Goals43%57%
Total44.2%55.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Pro Sesto

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ William Hill
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.52 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No1.87 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pistoiese = 1.13 (league 1.20), Pro Sesto = 0.52 (league 1.15)

Pro Sesto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pistoiese 0 19.1% 10.0% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.7% 11.3% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.3% 6.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.8% · Draw 32.2% · Away win 16.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1