Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:30 • Nuevo Stadio Comunale Walter Borelli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.00 (league 1.17) 0.74 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.3% 20.1% 12.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.9%
1 - 0
12.9%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Progresso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Correggese 0 6.4% 4.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.9% 9.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.9% 9.6% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.6% 6.4% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.3% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCorreggeseProgresso
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack60%60%
Defense40%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Correggese Progresso
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%14%23%14%17%15%
Draws50%43%46%43%17%31%
Loses17%43%31%43%67%54%

Form: Correggese: LWDDDDWDDLLWL • Progresso: LLDLLWLDDLDLW

League goals

Metric Correggese Progresso
HATHAT
GF total86146713
GF avg1.30.91.10.91.21.0
GA total481281119
GA avg0.71.10.91.11.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCorreggeseProgresso
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%62%62%92%
1.523%31%31%38%
2.58%0%8%8%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCorreggeseProgresso
HATHAT
Clean sheets325011
Failed to score123325

Penalties

MetricCorreggeseProgresso
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCorreggeseProgresso
Wins11
Draws42
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-12-11-2
Biggest losses1-22-10-12-0
Goals For3223
Goals Against2224

Model comparison

MetricCorreggeseProgresso
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h64%36%
Goals60%40%
Total57.8%42.2%

Advice: Double chance : Correggese or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Betano
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away3.65 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.61 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Marathonbet
No1.78 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Correggese = 2.00 (league 1.17), Progresso = 0.74 (league 1.13)

Progresso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Correggese 0 6.4% 4.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.9% 9.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.9% 9.6% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.6% 6.4% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.3% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.3% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 12.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1