Sasso Marconi Zola vs Desenzano Calvina

Serie D - Girone D — Italy

Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:30 • Centro Sportivo G.Carbonchi

Match Finished

Sasso Marconi Zola

1 - 3

Desenzano Calvina

Expected Goals

0.25 (league 1.20) 0.55 (league 1.18)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
13.6%	51.3%	35.2%

best score tips

0 - 0

44.9%

0 - 1

24.8%

1 - 0

11.2%

Score & goals probability table

		Desenzano Calvina
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Sasso Marconi Zola	0	44.9%	24.8%	6.8%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%
	1	11.2%	6.2%	1.7%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	1.4%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Sasso Marconi Zola	Desenzano Calvina
Played	5	5
Form	53%	73%
Attack	40%	90%
Defense	80%	80%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	9 \| 1.8
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	2 \| 0.4	2 \| 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%

FT probability

2.5+

37%

FT probability

3.5+

26%

FT probability

BTTS

53%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Sasso Marconi Zola			Desenzano Calvina
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	6	7	13	7	6	13
Wins	50%	14%	31%	43%	67%	54%
Draws	17%	14%	15%	43%	17%	31%
Loses	33%	71%	54%	14%	17%	15%

Form: Sasso Marconi Zola: LWLLLWLLDWWDL • Desenzano Calvina: LDWDWLWWWDDWW

League goals

Metric	Sasso Marconi Zola			Desenzano Calvina
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	6	4	10	15	8	23
GF avg	1.0	0.6	0.8	2.1	1.3	1.8
GA total	3	10	13	7	2	9
GA avg	0.5	1.4	1.0	1.0	0.3	0.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Sasso Marconi Zola		Desenzano Calvina
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	54%	69%	77%	54%
1.5	23%	23%	62%	15%
2.5	0%	8%	23%	0%
3.5	0%	0%	8%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	8%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Sasso Marconi Zola			Desenzano Calvina
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	3	1	4	2	4	6
Failed to score	3	3	6	1	2	3

Penalties

Metric	Sasso Marconi Zola	Desenzano Calvina
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	2

Streaks

Metric	Sasso Marconi Zola	Desenzano Calvina
Wins	2	3
Draws	1	2
Losses	3	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-0	0-1	5-1	0-3
Biggest losses	0-1	3-0	0-1	1-0
Goals For	2	1	5	3
Goals Against	1	3	2	1

Model comparison

Metric	Sasso Marconi Zola	Desenzano Calvina
Form	42%	58%
Att	31%	69%
Def	50%	50%
Poisson Distribution	29%	71%
H2h	0%	0%
Goals	0%	0%
Total	38.0%	62.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Desenzano Calvina and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.21 @ 1xBet

Draw3.15 @ Betano

Away2.15 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Marathonbet

Under 2.51.79 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Marathonbet

No1.99 @ 1xBet

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

Marathonbet Updated: 2025-11-30T12:01:07+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.14
Draw	3.08
Away	2.13

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.40
Draw	2.39
Away	2.43

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1	5.80
Away -1	1.07
Home -0.75	3.90
Away -0.75	1.18
Home -0.25	2.62
Away -0.25	1.38
Home +0	2.25
Away +0	1.55
Home +0.25	1.81
Away +0.25	1.81
Home +0.75	1.43
Away +0.75	2.46
Home +1	1.26
Away +1	3.20
Home +2	1.02
Away +2	7.80
Home -1.5	6.75
Away -1.5	1.04
Home +1.25	1.21
Away +1.25	3.58
Home +1.5	1.16
Away +1.5	4.10
Home +2.5	1.01
Away +2.5	8.60

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.26
Under 1.5	3.22
Over 1.75	1.32
Under 1.75	2.88
Over 2.0	1.42
Under 2.0	2.49
Over 2.25	1.65
Under 2.25	2.00
Over 2.5	1.90
Under 2.5	1.79
Over 2.75	2.10
Under 2.75	1.59
Over 3.5	3.14
Under 3.5	1.27
Over 1.0	1.03
Under 1.0	7.20
Over 3.0	2.52
Under 3.0	1.41
Over 3.25	2.83
Under 3.25	1.33
Over 3.75	3.88
Under 3.75	1.18
Over 4.0	5.30
Under 4.0	1.09

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.75
Under 1.5	1.36
Over 0.5	1.40
Under 0.5	2.60
Over 1.0	1.89
Under 1.0	1.79

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.06
Under 1.5	1.66
Over 2.0	3.34
Under 2.0	1.25
Over 1.0	1.41
Under 1.0	2.56

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.70
No	1.96

Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result

Selection	Odds
Home -1	6.75
Away -1	1.26
Draw -1	4.85
Home +1	1.56
Draw +1	3.88
Away +1	4.10

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.56
Home/Away	1.27
Draw/Away	1.26

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.88
Draw	1.97
Away	2.79

Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First

Selection	Odds
Home	2.26
Draw	8.40
Away	1.78

Bet ID 15 — Team To Score Last

Selection	Odds
Home	2.26
Draw	8.40
Away	1.78

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.76
Under 1.5	1.37
Over 1	1.83
Under 1	1.85
Over 2	5.65
Under 2	1.08

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.14
Under 1.5	1.62
Over 1	1.43
Under 1	2.54
Over 2	3.58
Under 2	1.23

1xBet Updated: 2025-11-30T12:01:07+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.21
Draw	3.08
Away	2.15

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.52
Draw	2.39
Away	2.45

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1	5.80
Away -1	1.07
Home -0.75	3.90
Away -0.75	1.18
Home -0.25	2.62
Away -0.25	1.38
Home +0	2.25
Away +0	1.55
Home +0.25	1.81
Away +0.25	1.81
Home +0.75	1.43
Away +0.75	2.46
Home +1	1.26
Away +1	3.20
Home +2	1.02
Away +2	7.80
Home -1.5	6.75
Away -1.5	1.04
Home +1.25	1.21
Away +1.25	3.58
Home +1.5	1.16
Away +1.5	4.10
Home +2.5	1.01
Away +2.5	8.60

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.26
Under 1.5	3.22
Over 1.75	1.32
Under 1.75	2.88
Over 2.0	1.42
Under 2.0	2.49
Over 2.25	1.65
Under 2.25	2.00
Over 2.5	1.90
Under 2.5	1.79
Over 2.75	2.10
Under 2.75	1.59
Over 3.5	3.14
Under 3.5	1.27
Over 0.5	1.03
Under 0.5	7.85
Over 1.0	1.03
Under 1.0	7.20
Over 3.0	2.52
Under 3.0	1.41
Over 4.5	6.40
Under 4.5	1.08
Over 3.25	2.83
Under 3.25	1.33
Over 3.75	3.88
Under 3.75	1.18
Over 4.0	5.30
Under 4.0	1.09
Over 5.5	10.00
Under 5.5	1.02

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.75
Under 1.5	1.36
Over 2.0	5.20
Under 2.0	1.13
Over 2.5	6.80
Under 2.5	1.07
Over 0.5	1.40
Under 0.5	2.60
Over 0.75	1.56
Under 0.75	2.21
Over 1.0	1.89
Under 1.0	1.79
Over 1.25	2.34
Under 1.25	1.50

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.06
Under 1.5	1.66
Over 1.75	2.48
Under 1.75	1.45
Over 2.0	3.34
Under 2.0	1.25
Over 2.5	4.50
Under 2.5	1.17
Over 0.5	1.22
Under 0.5	3.80
Over 1.0	1.41
Under 1.0	2.56
Over 1.25	1.75
Under 1.25	1.92

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	16.00
Home/Away	23.00
Draw/Away	5.40
Draw/Draw	4.80
Home/Home	5.40
Draw/Home	7.60
Away/Home	32.00
Away/Draw	16.00
Away/Away	3.40

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.70
No	1.99

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	11.00
2:0	18.00
2:1	12.00
3:0	40.00
3:1	28.00
3:2	35.00
4:0	90.00
4:1	70.00
0:0	8.00
1:1	6.50
2:2	13.00
0:1	8.50
0:2	11.00
0:3	20.00
1:2	9.50
1:3	17.00
2:3	28.00
3:3	50.00
0:4	45.00
1:4	40.00
2:4	55.00
4:2	80.00
0:5	90.00
0:6	100.00
1:5	80.00
1:6	100.00
2:5	100.00
2:6	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	100.00
5:1	100.00
5:2	100.00
6:0	100.00
6:1	100.00
6:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
3:6	100.00
4:5	100.00
4:6	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
5:6	100.00
6:3	100.00
6:4	100.00
6:5	100.00
4:4	100.00
7:0	100.00
7:1	100.00
7:2	100.00
7:3	100.00
7:4	100.00
7:5	100.00
7:6	100.00
8:0	100.00
8:1	100.00
8:2	100.00
8:3	100.00
8:4	100.00
8:5	100.00
8:6	100.00
8:7	100.00
9:0	100.00
9:1	100.00
9:2	100.00
9:3	100.00
9:4	100.00
9:5	100.00
9:6	100.00
9:7	100.00
9:8	100.00
10:0	100.00
10:1	100.00
10:2	100.00
10:3	100.00
10:4	100.00
10:5	100.00
10:6	100.00
10:7	100.00
10:8	100.00
10:9	100.00
5:5	100.00
6:6	100.00
7:7	100.00
8:8	100.00
9:9	100.00
10:10	100.00
0:7	100.00
0:8	100.00
0:9	100.00
0:10	100.00
1:7	100.00
1:8	100.00
1:9	100.00
1:10	100.00
2:7	100.00
2:8	100.00
2:9	100.00
2:10	100.00
3:7	100.00
3:8	100.00
3:9	100.00
3:10	100.00
4:7	100.00
4:8	100.00
4:9	100.00
4:10	100.00
5:7	100.00
5:8	100.00
5:9	100.00
5:10	100.00
6:7	100.00
6:8	100.00
6:9	100.00
6:10	100.00
7:8	100.00
7:9	100.00
7:10	100.00
8:9	100.00
8:10	100.00
9:10	100.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.46
1st Half	3.08
2nd Half	1.97

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.56
Home/Away	1.27
Draw/Away	1.26

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	4.05
Draw	1.97
Away	2.81

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.85
Under 1.5	1.37
Over 2.5	6.60
Under 2.5	1.08
Over 1	1.85
Under 1	1.85
Over 2	5.50
Under 2	1.11
Over 0.5	1.38
Under 0.5	2.80

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.02
Under 1.5	1.70
Over 2.5	4.20
Under 2.5	1.18
Over 3.5	11.00
Under 3.5	1.01
Over 1	1.40
Under 1	2.70
Over 2	3.30
Under 2	1.30
Over 0.5	1.20
Under 0.5	3.95

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home -0.25	2.92
Away -0.25	1.32
Home +0	2.13
Away +0	1.59
Home +0.25	1.55
Away +0.25	2.20
Home +1	1.04
Away +1	6.80

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.31
Home/Away	1.63
Draw/Away	1.16

Bet ID 33 — Double Chance - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.41
Home/Away	1.42
Draw/Away	1.21

Bet ID 34 — Both Teams Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
Yes	4.30
No	1.17

Bet ID 35 — Both Teams To Score - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Yes	3.12
No	1.30

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.89
Even	1.76

Bet ID 22 — Odd/Even - First Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.09
Even	1.61

Bet ID 23 — Home Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.99
Even	1.68

Bet ID 60 — Away Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.91
Even	1.74

Bet ID 104 — Asian Handicap (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home -0.25	2.73
Away -0.25	1.36
Home +0	2.15
Away +0	1.58
Home +0.25	1.66
Away +0.25	2.01
Home +1	1.10
Away +1	5.05

Bet ID 105 — Home Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	2.29
Under 0.5	1.51

Bet ID 106 — Away Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.95
Under 0.5	1.71

Bet ID 107 — Home Team Total Goals(2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.87
Under 0.5	1.77

Bet ID 108 — Away Team Total Goals(2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.63
Under 0.5	2.06

Bet ID 63 — Odd/Even - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.92
Even	1.73

Betano Updated: 2025-11-30T12:01:07+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.20
Draw	3.15
Away	2.10

Bet ID 2 — Home/Away

Selection	Odds
Home	2.22
Away	1.52

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.35
Draw	2.40
Away	2.40

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home +0.25	1.83
Away +0.25	1.78

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.5	1.88
Under 2.5	1.75

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.39
Under 0.5	2.42
Over 1.0	1.83
Under 1.0	1.72

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	13.00
Home/Away	25.00
Draw/Away	5.00
Draw/Draw	4.70
Home/Home	5.50
Draw/Home	6.90
Away/Home	35.00
Away/Draw	13.50
Away/Away	3.45

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	7.80
2:0	13.00
2:1	8.25
3:0	28.00
3:1	18.50
3:2	22.00
4:0	80.00
4:1	55.00
0:0	9.25
1:1	5.00
2:2	9.75
0:1	5.90
0:2	7.80
0:3	14.50
1:2	6.70
1:3	12.50
2:3	18.50
3:3	37.00
0:4	32.00
1:4	29.00
2:4	45.00
4:2	60.00
0:5	90.00
0:6	300.00
1:5	80.00
1:6	250.00
2:5	120.00
2:6	400.00
3:4	90.00
5:0	250.00
5:1	175.00
5:2	200.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	250.00
5:3	350.00
4:4	200.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.20
1st Half	3.10
2nd Half	1.95

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	3.85
2:0	10.75
2:1	14.00
3:0	40.00
3:1	50.00
3:2	110.00
4:0	200.00
0:0	2.42
1:1	5.00
2:2	30.00
0:1	3.15
0:2	7.50
0:3	24.00
1:2	12.00
1:3	40.00
2:3	100.00
0:4	90.00
1:4	150.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.60
Home/Away	1.30
Draw/Away	1.29

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.70
Draw	2.02
Away	2.75

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home +0.25	1.55
Away +0.25	2.05

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.37
Home/Away	1.62
Draw/Away	1.24

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.85
Even	1.78

Bet ID 109 — Draw No Bet (1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	2.07
Away	1.57

Bet ID 182 — Draw No Bet (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	2.12
Away	1.55

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Sasso Marconi Zola vs Desenzano Calvina

Expected goals (λ): Sasso Marconi Zola = 0.25 (league 1.20), Desenzano Calvina = 0.55 (league 1.18)

		Desenzano Calvina
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Sasso Marconi Zola	0	44.9%	24.8%	6.8%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%
	1	11.2%	6.2%	1.7%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	1.4%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.6% · Draw 51.3% · Away win 35.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Sasso Marconi Zola	Desenzano Calvina
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	2