Desenzano Calvina vs Imolese

Serie D - Girone D — Italy

Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Tre Stelle

Match Finished

Desenzano Calvina

4 - 3

Imolese

Expected Goals

1.57 (league 1.20) 0.76 (league 1.18)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
56.1%	25.3%	18.1%

best score tips

1 - 0

15.2%

2 - 0

12.0%

1 - 1

11.6%

Score & goals probability table

		Imolese
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Desenzano Calvina	0	9.6%	7.4%	2.8%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	15.2%	11.6%	4.4%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
	2	12.0%	9.1%	3.5%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	6.3%	4.8%	1.8%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	2.5%	1.9%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.8%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Desenzano Calvina	Imolese
Played	5	5
Form	73%	20%
Attack	71%	36%
Defense	79%	43%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	10 \| 2	5 \| 1
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	8 \| 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%

FT probability

2.5+

46%

FT probability

3.5+

33%

FT probability

BTTS

62%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Desenzano Calvina			Imolese
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	7	7	14	7	7	14
Wins	43%	71%	57%	14%	29%	21%
Draws	43%	14%	29%	43%	57%	50%
Loses	14%	14%	14%	43%	14%	29%

Form: Desenzano Calvina: LDWDWLWWWDDWWW • Imolese: DLDWDDWLWDDLLD

League goals

Metric	Desenzano Calvina			Imolese
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	15	11	26	4	6	10
GF avg	2.1	1.6	1.9	0.6	0.9	0.7
GA total	7	3	10	6	6	12
GA avg	1.0	0.4	0.7	0.9	0.9	0.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Desenzano Calvina		Imolese
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	79%	57%	57%	64%
1.5	64%	14%	14%	14%
2.5	29%	0%	0%	7%
3.5	7%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	7%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Desenzano Calvina			Imolese
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	2	4	6	1	4	5
Failed to score	1	2	3	4	2	6

Penalties

Metric	Desenzano Calvina	Imolese
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	0

Streaks

Metric	Desenzano Calvina	Imolese
Wins	3	1
Draws	2	2
Losses	1	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	5-1	0-3	2-1	0-1
Biggest losses	0-1	1-0	0-1	3-1
Goals For	5	3	2	2
Goals Against	2	1	1	3

Model comparison

Metric	Desenzano Calvina	Imolese
Form	79%	21%
Att	67%	33%
Def	73%	27%
Poisson Distribution	65%	35%
H2h	0%	0%
Goals	0%	0%
Total	71.0%	29.0%

Advice: Double chance : Desenzano Calvina or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ Betano

Draw3.35 @ Betano

Away3.20 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ Betano

Under 2.51.83 @ Betano

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

Betano Updated: 2025-12-07T04:00:59+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.02
Draw	3.35
Away	3.20

Bet ID 2 — Home/Away

Selection	Odds
Home	1.50
Away	2.27

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.35
Draw	2.47
Away	3.35

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -0.25	1.72
Away -0.25	1.90

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.5	1.82
Under 2.5	1.83

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.52
Under 1.5	1.37
Over 1.0	1.78
Under 1.0	1.75

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	13.50
Home/Away	35.00
Draw/Away	7.20
Draw/Draw	5.10
Home/Home	3.25
Draw/Home	4.90
Away/Home	25.00
Away/Draw	14.00
Away/Away	5.40

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	6.20
2:0	7.70
2:1	6.70
3:0	13.50
3:1	11.50
3:2	17.50
4:0	29.00
4:1	25.00
0:0	10.25
1:1	5.30
2:2	10.25
0:1	7.80
0:2	12.50
0:3	28.00
1:2	8.50
1:3	19.00
2:3	23.00
3:3	37.00
0:4	75.00
1:4	55.00
2:4	65.00
4:2	37.00
0:5	250.00
1:5	175.00
2:5	200.00
3:4	110.00
5:0	75.00
5:1	65.00
5:2	100.00
6:0	250.00
6:1	200.00
6:2	300.00
4:3	80.00
3:5	350.00
5:3	200.00
4:4	200.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.25
1st Half	3.05
2nd Half	1.95

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	3.10
2:0	7.00
2:1	11.50
3:0	21.00
3:1	35.00
3:2	90.00
4:0	80.00
4:1	120.00
0:0	2.27
1:1	5.10
2:2	32.00
0:1	3.90
0:2	11.00
0:3	40.00
1:2	14.50
1:3	55.00
2:3	120.00
0:4	200.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.29
Home/Away	1.27
Draw/Away	1.65

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.60
Draw	2.10
Away	3.70

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home -0.25	2.00
Away -0.25	1.60

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.23
Home/Away	1.60
Draw/Away	1.40

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.83
Even	1.80

Bet ID 109 — Draw No Bet (1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	1.53
Away	2.15

Bet ID 182 — Draw No Bet (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	1.53
Away	2.15

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Desenzano Calvina vs Imolese

Expected goals (λ): Desenzano Calvina = 1.57 (league 1.20), Imolese = 0.76 (league 1.18)

		Imolese
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Desenzano Calvina	0	9.6%	7.4%	2.8%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	15.2%	11.6%	4.4%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
	2	12.0%	9.1%	3.5%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	6.3%	4.8%	1.8%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	2.5%	1.9%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.8%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.1% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 18.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Desenzano Calvina	Imolese
Scored (total \| %)	2 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	2	0