Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Progresso
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.17) 1.07 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.0% 31.9% 42.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.0%
0 - 0
15.9%
1 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Lentigione
0 1 2 3 4 5
Progresso 0 15.9% 17.0% 9.1% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.3% 13.1% 7.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 4.7% 5.0% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricProgressoLentigione
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack43%36%
Defense57%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Progresso Lentigione
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins14%29%21%71%57%64%
Draws43%14%29%14%14%14%
Loses43%57%50%14%29%21%

Form: Progresso: LLDLLWLDDLDLWW • Lentigione: WLWWWWDWLLWDWW

League goals

Metric Progresso Lentigione
HATHAT
GF total69157815
GF avg0.91.31.11.01.11.1
GA total81119178
GA avg1.11.61.40.11.00.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineProgressoLentigione
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%86%79%43%
1.536%36%21%7%
2.57%7%7%7%
3.50%7%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricProgressoLentigione
HATHAT
Clean sheets022628
Failed to score325213

Penalties

MetricProgressoLentigione
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricProgressoLentigione
Wins14
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-23-01-2
Biggest losses0-12-00-13-1
Goals For2332
Goals Against2413

Model comparison

MetricProgressoLentigione
Form41%59%
Att55%45%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h20%80%
Goals30%70%
Total36.0%64.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Lentigione and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ 1xBet
Draw3.32 @ Marathonbet
Away2.26 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.81 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Marathonbet
No2.02 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Progresso = 0.77 (league 1.17), Lentigione = 1.07 (league 1.13)

Lentigione
0 1 2 3 4 5
Progresso 0 15.9% 17.0% 9.1% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.3% 13.1% 7.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 4.7% 5.0% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.0% · Draw 31.9% · Away win 42.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1