Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Walter Borelli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.20) 0.99 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.9% 28.2% 28.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.2%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Crema
0 1 2 3 4 5
Correggese 0 10.3% 10.2% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.2% 13.1% 6.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.4% 8.4% 4.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.6% 3.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCorreggeseCrema
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack31%50%
Defense63%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Correggese Crema
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins29%13%20%38%29%33%
Draws43%50%47%25%43%33%
Loses29%38%33%38%29%33%

Form: Correggese: LWDDDDWDDLLWLLD • Crema: LWWWDWLWLLDDDDL

League goals

Metric Correggese Crema
HATHAT
GF total871511920
GF avg1.10.91.01.41.31.3
GA total6915131023
GA avg0.91.11.01.61.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCorreggeseCrema
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%67%87%73%
1.520%33%47%53%
2.57%0%0%13%
3.50%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCorreggeseCrema
HATHAT
Clean sheets325224
Failed to score224112

Penalties

MetricCorreggeseCrema
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCorreggeseCrema
Wins13
Draws44
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-12-00-2
Biggest losses0-22-11-53-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against2253

Model comparison

MetricCorreggeseCrema
Form50%50%
Att38%62%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total50.3%49.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Crema

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.28 @ Marathonbet
Away2.90 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.85 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Superbet
No2.05 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Correggese = 1.28 (league 1.20), Crema = 0.99 (league 1.18)

Crema
0 1 2 3 4 5
Correggese 0 10.3% 10.2% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.2% 13.1% 6.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.4% 8.4% 4.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.6% 3.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.9% · Draw 28.2% · Away win 28.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1