Pistoiese vs Desenzano Calvina

Serie D - Girone D — Italy

Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Marcello Melani

Match Finished

Pistoiese

0 - 2

Desenzano Calvina

Expected Goals

0.47 (league 1.20) 0.95 (league 1.18)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
17.6%	36.2%	46.2%

best score tips

0 - 0

24.2%

0 - 1

23.0%

1 - 0

11.3%

Score & goals probability table

		Desenzano Calvina
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Pistoiese	0	24.2%	23.0%	11.0%	3.5%	0.8%	0.2%
	1	11.3%	10.7%	5.1%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
	2	2.6%	2.5%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Pistoiese	Desenzano Calvina
Played	5	5
Form	67%	87%
Attack	44%	75%
Defense	75%	75%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	12 \| 2.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	4 \| 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%

FT probability

2.5+

47%

FT probability

3.5+

34%

FT probability

BTTS

62%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Pistoiese			Desenzano Calvina
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	7	8	15	8	7	15
Wins	43%	63%	53%	50%	71%	60%
Draws	43%	38%	40%	38%	14%	27%
Loses	14%	0%	7%	13%	14%	13%

Form: Pistoiese: DWWWDDWDDWWWDLW • Desenzano Calvina: LDWDWLWWWDDWWWW

League goals

Metric	Pistoiese			Desenzano Calvina
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	10	15	25	19	11	30
GF avg	1.4	1.9	1.7	2.4	1.6	2.0
GA total	5	6	11	10	3	13
GA avg	0.7	0.8	0.7	1.3	0.4	0.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Pistoiese		Desenzano Calvina
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	87%	53%	80%	60%
1.5	40%	20%	67%	20%
2.5	27%	0%	33%	7%
3.5	13%	0%	13%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	7%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Pistoiese			Desenzano Calvina
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	3	4	7	2	4	6
Failed to score	2	0	2	1	2	3

Penalties

Metric	Pistoiese	Desenzano Calvina
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	2

Streaks

Metric	Pistoiese	Desenzano Calvina
Wins	3	3
Draws	2	2
Losses	1	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-1	1-4	5-1	0-3
Biggest losses	0-2	—	0-1	1-0
Goals For	4	4	5	3
Goals Against	2	2	3	1

Model comparison

Metric	Pistoiese	Desenzano Calvina
Form	43%	57%
Att	37%	63%
Def	50%	50%
Poisson Distribution	33%	67%
H2h	0%	0%
Goals	0%	0%
Total	40.8%	59.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Desenzano Calvina

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ 1xBet

Draw3.32 @ Marathonbet

Away2.82 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ Marathonbet

Under 2.51.86 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Marathonbet

No2.08 @ 1xBet

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

Marathonbet Updated: 2025-12-14T12:00:50+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.25
Draw	3.32
Away	2.73

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.59
Draw	2.43
Away	3.08

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	4.15
Away -1.25	1.16
Home -1	3.58
Away -1	1.21
Home -0.75	2.69
Away -0.75	1.36
Home -0.25	1.94
Away -0.25	1.70
Home +0	1.68
Away +0	2.03
Home +0.25	1.48
Away +0.25	2.33
Home +0.75	1.24
Away +0.75	3.34
Home -2	8.50
Away -2	1.01
Home +1	1.11
Away +1	4.95
Home -1.5	4.60
Away -1.5	1.13
Home +1.5	1.07
Away +1.5	5.95
Home -2.5	9.10
Away -2.5	1.00

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.22
Under 1.5	3.50
Over 1.75	1.28
Under 1.75	3.08
Over 2.0	1.36
Under 2.0	2.69
Over 2.25	1.58
Under 2.25	2.12
Over 2.5	1.83
Under 2.5	1.86
Over 2.75	2.02
Under 2.75	1.64
Over 3.5	3.05
Under 3.5	1.28
Over 1.0	1.00
Under 1.0	9.20
Over 3.0	2.43
Under 3.0	1.44
Over 3.25	2.74
Under 3.25	1.35
Over 3.75	3.80
Under 3.75	1.19
Over 4.0	5.20
Under 4.0	1.10

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.67
Under 1.5	1.38
Over 0.5	1.33
Under 0.5	2.88
Over 1.0	1.78
Under 1.0	1.91

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.05
Under 1.5	1.67
Over 2.0	3.34
Under 2.0	1.25
Over 1.0	1.37
Under 1.0	2.71

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.64
No	2.04

Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result

Selection	Odds
Home -1	4.60
Away -1	1.50
Draw -1	4.00
Home +1	1.35
Draw +1	4.50
Away +1	5.95

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.35
Home/Away	1.24
Draw/Away	1.50

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.86
Draw	2.09
Away	3.38

Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First

Selection	Odds
Home	1.82
Draw	12.25
Away	2.04

Bet ID 15 — Team To Score Last

Selection	Odds
Home	1.82
Draw	12.25
Away	2.04

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.19
Under 1.5	1.59
Over 1	1.44
Under 1	2.50
Over 2	3.88
Under 2	1.20

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.48
Under 1.5	1.45
Over 1	1.63
Under 1	2.11
Over 2	4.85
Under 2	1.11

1xBet Updated: 2025-12-14T12:00:50+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.27
Draw	3.32
Away	2.79

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.61
Draw	2.43
Away	3.18

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	4.15
Away -1.25	1.16
Home -1	3.58
Away -1	1.21
Home -0.75	2.69
Away -0.75	1.36
Home -0.25	1.94
Away -0.25	1.70
Home +0	1.68
Away +0	2.03
Home +0.25	1.48
Away +0.25	2.33
Home +0.75	1.24
Away +0.75	3.34
Home +1	1.11
Away +1	4.95
Home -1.5	4.60
Away -1.5	1.13
Home +1.5	1.07
Away +1.5	5.95
Home -2.5	9.20
Away -2.5	1.03

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.22
Under 1.5	3.50
Over 1.75	1.28
Under 1.75	3.08
Over 2.0	1.36
Under 2.0	2.69
Over 2.25	1.58
Under 2.25	2.12
Over 2.5	1.83
Under 2.5	1.86
Over 2.75	2.02
Under 2.75	1.64
Over 3.5	3.05
Under 3.5	1.28
Over 0.5	1.00
Under 0.5	9.20
Over 1.0	1.00
Under 1.0	9.20
Over 3.0	2.43
Under 3.0	1.44
Over 4.5	5.50
Under 4.5	1.11
Over 3.25	2.74
Under 3.25	1.35
Over 3.75	3.80
Under 3.75	1.19
Over 4.0	5.20
Under 4.0	1.10
Over 5.5	9.10
Under 5.5	1.03

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.67
Under 1.5	1.38
Over 2.0	5.10
Under 2.0	1.13
Over 2.5	6.40
Under 2.5	1.08
Over 0.5	1.33
Under 0.5	2.88
Over 0.75	1.48
Under 0.75	2.40
Over 1.0	1.78
Under 1.0	1.91
Over 1.25	2.23
Under 1.25	1.55

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.05
Under 1.5	1.67
Over 1.75	2.45
Under 1.75	1.46
Over 2.0	3.34
Under 2.0	1.25
Over 2.5	4.20
Under 2.5	1.19
Over 0.5	1.21
Under 0.5	3.90
Over 1.0	1.37
Under 1.0	2.71
Over 1.25	1.71
Under 1.25	1.97

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	13.00
Home/Away	30.00
Draw/Away	7.50
Draw/Draw	6.00
Home/Home	4.00
Draw/Home	5.40
Away/Home	25.00
Away/Draw	13.00
Away/Away	4.40

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.64
No	2.08

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	9.00
2:0	12.00
2:1	9.50
3:0	22.00
3:1	18.00
3:2	27.00
4:0	50.00
4:1	40.00
0:0	9.50
1:1	7.00
2:2	14.00
0:1	10.00
0:2	15.00
0:3	30.00
1:2	11.00
1:3	23.00
2:3	30.00
3:3	55.00
0:4	70.00
1:4	55.00
2:4	70.00
4:2	60.00
0:5	100.00
0:6	100.00
1:5	100.00
1:6	100.00
2:5	100.00
2:6	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	100.00
5:1	90.00
5:2	100.00
6:0	100.00
6:1	100.00
6:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
3:6	100.00
4:5	100.00
4:6	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
5:6	100.00
6:3	100.00
6:4	100.00
6:5	100.00
4:4	100.00
7:0	100.00
7:1	100.00
7:2	100.00
7:3	100.00
7:4	100.00
7:5	100.00
7:6	100.00
8:0	100.00
8:1	100.00
8:2	100.00
8:3	100.00
8:4	100.00
8:5	100.00
8:6	100.00
8:7	100.00
9:0	100.00
9:1	100.00
9:2	100.00
9:3	100.00
9:4	100.00
9:5	100.00
9:6	100.00
9:7	100.00
9:8	100.00
10:0	100.00
10:1	100.00
10:2	100.00
10:3	100.00
10:4	100.00
10:5	100.00
10:6	100.00
10:7	100.00
10:8	100.00
10:9	100.00
5:5	100.00
6:6	100.00
7:7	100.00
8:8	100.00
9:9	100.00
10:10	100.00
0:7	100.00
0:8	100.00
0:9	100.00
0:10	100.00
1:7	100.00
1:8	100.00
1:9	100.00
1:10	100.00
2:7	100.00
2:8	100.00
2:9	100.00
2:10	100.00
3:7	100.00
3:8	100.00
3:9	100.00
3:10	100.00
4:7	100.00
4:8	100.00
4:9	100.00
4:10	100.00
5:7	100.00
5:8	100.00
5:9	100.00
5:10	100.00
6:7	100.00
6:8	100.00
6:9	100.00
6:10	100.00
7:8	100.00
7:9	100.00
7:10	100.00
8:9	100.00
8:10	100.00
9:10	100.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.48
1st Half	2.99
2nd Half	2.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.35
Home/Away	1.24
Draw/Away	1.50

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.88
Draw	2.09
Away	3.51

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.20
Under 1.5	1.60
Over 2.5	4.80
Under 2.5	1.15
Over 1	1.45
Under 1	2.60
Over 2	3.80
Under 2	1.22
Over 0.5	1.22
Under 0.5	3.80

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.35
Under 1.5	1.52
Over 2.5	5.40
Under 2.5	1.11
Over 1	1.60
Under 1	2.20
Over 2	4.40
Under 2	1.17
Over 0.5	1.30
Under 0.5	3.20

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home -1	7.70
Away -1	1.03
Home -0.25	2.29
Away -0.25	1.51
Home +0	1.70
Away +0	1.96
Home +0.25	1.39
Away +0.25	2.63

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.21
Home/Away	1.56
Draw/Away	1.30

Bet ID 33 — Double Chance - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.26
Home/Away	1.41
Draw/Away	1.36

Bet ID 34 — Both Teams Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
Yes	4.20
No	1.17

Bet ID 35 — Both Teams To Score - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Yes	3.08
No	1.30

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.82
Even	1.82

Bet ID 22 — Odd/Even - First Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.00
Even	1.67

Bet ID 23 — Home Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.91
Even	1.74

Bet ID 60 — Away Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.95
Even	1.71

Bet ID 104 — Asian Handicap (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home -1	5.80
Away -1	1.07
Home -0.25	2.15
Away -0.25	1.58
Home +0	1.69
Away +0	1.97
Home +0.25	1.43
Away +0.25	2.50

Bet ID 105 — Home Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.93
Under 0.5	1.72

Bet ID 106 — Away Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	2.09
Under 0.5	1.61

Bet ID 107 — Home Team Total Goals(2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.66
Under 0.5	2.01

Bet ID 108 — Away Team Total Goals(2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.78
Under 0.5	1.86

Bet ID 63 — Odd/Even - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.91
Even	1.74

Betano Updated: 2025-12-14T12:00:50+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.25
Draw	3.20
Away	2.82

Bet ID 2 — Home/Away

Selection	Odds
Home	1.62
Away	2.02

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.55
Draw	2.45
Away	3.05

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -0.25	1.88
Away -0.25	1.72

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.5	1.80
Under 2.5	1.85

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.50
Under 1.5	1.37
Over 1.0	1.75
Under 1.0	1.78

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	13.00
Home/Away	30.00
Draw/Away	6.40
Draw/Draw	4.90
Home/Home	3.70
Draw/Home	5.30
Away/Home	26.00
Away/Draw	13.50
Away/Away	4.80

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	6.70
2:0	8.75
2:1	6.90
3:0	16.00
3:1	12.50
3:2	17.50
4:0	37.00
4:1	29.00
0:0	10.25
1:1	5.20
2:2	9.50
0:1	7.50
0:2	11.25
0:3	23.00
1:2	7.90
1:3	16.50
2:3	20.00
3:3	35.00
0:4	60.00
1:4	45.00
2:4	55.00
4:2	40.00
0:5	200.00
1:5	120.00
1:6	400.00
2:5	175.00
3:4	90.00
5:0	100.00
5:1	80.00
5:2	110.00
6:0	350.00
6:1	250.00
6:2	350.00
4:3	80.00
3:5	300.00
5:3	200.00
4:4	200.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.25
1st Half	3.05
2nd Half	1.93

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	3.30
2:0	7.80
2:1	11.75
3:0	25.00
3:1	37.00
3:2	90.00
4:0	100.00
4:1	150.00
0:0	2.30
1:1	4.90
2:2	29.00
0:1	3.70
0:2	9.75
0:3	35.00
1:2	13.50
1:3	50.00
2:3	110.00
0:4	150.00
1:4	200.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.35
Home/Away	1.29
Draw/Away	1.52

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.85
Draw	2.07
Away	3.40

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.27
Home/Away	1.60
Draw/Away	1.35

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.85
Even	1.80

Bet ID 109 — Draw No Bet (1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	1.65
Away	1.95

Bet ID 182 — Draw No Bet (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	1.65
Away	1.95

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Pistoiese vs Desenzano Calvina

Expected goals (λ): Pistoiese = 0.47 (league 1.20), Desenzano Calvina = 0.95 (league 1.18)

		Desenzano Calvina
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Pistoiese	0	24.2%	23.0%	11.0%	3.5%	0.8%	0.2%
	1	11.3%	10.7%	5.1%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
	2	2.6%	2.5%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.6% · Draw 36.2% · Away win 46.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Pistoiese	Desenzano Calvina
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	2