Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Progresso
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.18) 0.67 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.2% 28.2% 18.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.0%
0 - 0
13.3%
2 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Sant'Angelo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Progresso 0 13.3% 8.8% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.0% 12.0% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.2% 8.1% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricProgressoSant'Angelo
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack31%44%
Defense69%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Progresso Sant'Angelo
HATHAT
Played87158715
Wins13%29%20%63%14%40%
Draws38%14%27%0%29%13%
Loses50%57%53%38%57%47%

Form: Progresso: LLDLLWLDDLDLWWL • Sant'Angelo: WLLDWWLLWDLLWLW

League goals

Metric Progresso Sant'Angelo
HATHAT
GF total691512517
GF avg0.81.31.01.50.71.1
GA total9112091423
GA avg1.11.61.31.12.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineProgressoSant'Angelo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%87%67%73%
1.533%33%33%47%
2.57%7%7%13%
3.50%7%7%13%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricProgressoSant'Angelo
HATHAT
Clean sheets022224
Failed to score426325

Penalties

MetricProgressoSant'Angelo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricProgressoSant'Angelo
Wins22
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-24-10-1
Biggest losses0-12-00-25-1
Goals For2341
Goals Against2425

Model comparison

MetricProgressoSant'Angelo
Form54%46%
Att42%58%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h80%20%
Goals60%40%
Total60.8%39.2%

Advice: Double chance : Progresso or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Unibet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.63 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.62 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Superbet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Progresso = 1.35 (league 1.18), Sant'Angelo = 0.67 (league 1.16)

Sant'Angelo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Progresso 0 13.3% 8.8% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.0% 12.0% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.2% 8.1% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.2% · Draw 28.2% · Away win 18.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1