Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 13:30 • Centro Sportivo G.Carbonchi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.20) 0.99 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.2% 27.7% 27.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Progresso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sasso Marconi Zola 0 9.8% 9.7% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.0% 12.9% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.7% 8.6% 4.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.9% 3.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSasso Marconi ZolaProgresso
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack29%29%
Defense59%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sasso Marconi Zola Progresso
HATHAT
Played79169716
Wins43%22%31%22%29%25%
Draws14%11%13%33%14%25%
Loses43%67%56%44%57%50%

Form: Sasso Marconi Zola: LWLLLWLLDWWDLLLW • Progresso: LLDLLWLDDLDLWWLW

League goals

Metric Sasso Marconi Zola Progresso
HATHAT
GF total78157916
GF avg1.00.90.90.81.31.0
GA total6131991120
GA avg0.91.41.21.01.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSasso Marconi ZolaProgresso
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%75%63%81%
1.525%31%31%31%
2.56%13%6%6%
3.50%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSasso Marconi ZolaProgresso
HATHAT
Clean sheets314123
Failed to score336426

Penalties

MetricSasso Marconi ZolaProgresso
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSasso Marconi ZolaProgresso
Wins22
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-32-10-2
Biggest losses1-33-00-12-0
Goals For2323
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricSasso Marconi ZolaProgresso
Form31%69%
Att50%50%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h20%80%
Goals40%60%
Total38.8%61.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Progresso

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Unibet
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away3.20 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.64 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ William Hill
No1.86 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sasso Marconi Zola = 1.33 (league 1.20), Progresso = 0.99 (league 1.18)

Progresso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sasso Marconi Zola 0 9.8% 9.7% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.0% 12.9% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.7% 8.6% 4.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.9% 3.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.2% · Draw 27.7% · Away win 27.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1