Tue, Jan 6 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Ernesto Breda
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.22) 0.51 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.0% 22.6% 10.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.5%
2 - 0
15.8%
0 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Progresso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pro Sesto 0 10.8% 5.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.5% 9.5% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.8% 8.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.0% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPro SestoProgresso
Played55
Form80%80%
Attack78%89%
Defense78%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pro Sesto Progresso
HATHAT
Played98179817
Wins56%63%59%22%38%29%
Draws33%25%29%33%13%24%
Loses11%13%12%44%50%47%

Form: Pro Sesto: WWWDDLWDWDDWWWLWW • Progresso: LLDLLWLDDLDLWWLWW

League goals

Metric Pro Sesto Progresso
HATHAT
GF total12122471219
GF avg1.31.51.40.81.51.1
GA total45991322
GA avg0.40.60.51.01.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePro SestoProgresso
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%35%65%82%
1.541%18%35%35%
2.524%0%12%6%
3.56%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPro SestoProgresso
HATHAT
Clean sheets6511123
Failed to score325426

Penalties

MetricPro SestoProgresso
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPro SestoProgresso
Wins32
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-32-10-2
Biggest losses0-22-00-12-0
Goals For4323
Goals Against2224

Model comparison

MetricPro SestoProgresso
Form50%50%
Att47%53%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total59.8%40.3%

Advice: Double chance : Pro Sesto or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ Unibet
Draw3.60 @ Superbet
Away6.10 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Superbet
No1.85 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.70 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pro Sesto = 1.71 (league 1.22), Progresso = 0.51 (league 1.17)

Progresso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pro Sesto 0 10.8% 5.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.5% 9.5% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.8% 8.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.0% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.0% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 10.6%

vtt 2 , vtd1