Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Marcello Melani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.18) 0.70 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.0% 25.6% 16.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.4%
2 - 0
12.6%
1 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Rovato Vertovese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pistoiese 0 10.6% 7.4% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.4% 11.5% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.6% 8.8% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.5% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPistoieseRovato Vertovese
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack20%50%
Defense60%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pistoiese Rovato Vertovese
HATHAT
Played8101810818
Wins38%60%50%40%38%39%
Draws38%40%39%40%13%28%
Loses25%0%11%20%50%33%

Form: Pistoiese: DWWWDDWDDWWWDLWLDW • Rovato Vertovese: WLDLLWWDLWWDLDWLWD

League goals

Metric Pistoiese Rovato Vertovese
HATHAT
GF total10162612719
GF avg1.31.61.41.20.91.1
GA total761381119
GA avg0.90.60.70.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePistoieseRovato Vertovese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%50%61%67%
1.533%22%44%22%
2.522%0%0%11%
3.511%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPistoieseRovato Vertovese
HATHAT
Clean sheets369426
Failed to score314347

Penalties

MetricPistoieseRovato Vertovese
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPistoieseRovato Vertovese
Wins32
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-42-00-2
Biggest losses0-2—1-24-0
Goals For4422
Goals Against2224

Model comparison

MetricPistoieseRovato Vertovese
Form47%53%
Att29%71%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total46.5%53.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Pistoiese or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Bet365
Draw4.11 @ Pinnacle
Away8.60 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.80 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ William Hill
No1.68 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pistoiese = 1.54 (league 1.18), Rovato Vertovese = 0.70 (league 1.16)

Rovato Vertovese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pistoiese 0 10.6% 7.4% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.4% 11.5% 4.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.6% 8.8% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.5% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.0% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 16.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1