Sun, Jan 25 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Comunale Progresso
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.18)
1.12 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.4% | 30.3% | 40.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.6%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Crema | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Progresso | 0 | 13.0% | 14.6% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.9% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Progresso | Crema |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 33% |
| Attack | 57% | 43% |
| Defense | 79% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Progresso | Crema | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 10 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| Wins | 30% | 40% | 35% | 27% | 33% | 30% |
| Draws | 30% | 20% | 25% | 27% | 44% | 35% |
| Loses | 40% | 40% | 40% | 45% | 22% | 35% |
Form: Progresso: LLDLLWLDDLDLWWLWWWWD • Crema: LWWWDWLWLLDDDDLDLLWD
League goals
| Metric | Progresso | Crema | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 14 | 23 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 10 | 13 | 23 | 18 | 11 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Progresso | Crema | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 75% | 85% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 30% | 45% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 5% | 0% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Progresso | Crema | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Progresso | Crema |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Progresso | Crema |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 1-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Progresso | Crema |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 72% | 28% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 42% | 58% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 51.2% | 48.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Progresso or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Progresso = 0.91 (league 1.18), Crema = 1.12 (league 1.16)
| Crema | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Progresso | 0 | 13.0% | 14.6% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.9% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.4% · Draw 30.3% · Away win 40.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1