Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Marcello Melani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.20) 1.25 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.5% 24.4% 29.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Piacenza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pistoiese 0 5.6% 7.0% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.2% 11.5% 7.2% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.3% 5.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.0% 5.1% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.6% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPistoiesePiacenza
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack100%100%
Defense75%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pistoiese Piacenza
HATHAT
Played101121101121
Wins50%64%57%60%55%57%
Draws30%36%33%40%18%29%
Loses20%0%10%0%27%14%

Form: Pistoiese: DWWWDDWDDWWWDLWLDWWWW • Piacenza: WLDWDDWLWWDDWWWWWLDWW

League goals

Metric Pistoiese Piacenza
HATHAT
GF total152035162036
GF avg1.51.81.71.61.81.7
GA total871571421
GA avg0.80.60.70.71.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePistoiesePiacenza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%52%86%71%
1.543%19%52%29%
2.529%0%24%0%
3.514%0%10%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPistoiesePiacenza
HATHAT
Clean sheets4610426
Failed to score314123

Penalties

MetricPistoiesePiacenza
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPistoiesePiacenza
Wins35
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-44-10-3
Biggest losses0-2——2-0
Goals For4444
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricPistoiesePiacenza
Form57%43%
Att56%44%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h71%29%
Goals55%45%
Total59.8%40.2%

Advice: Double chance : Pistoiese or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Superbet
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.45 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.72 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Marathonbet
No1.92 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pistoiese = 1.63 (league 1.20), Piacenza = 1.25 (league 1.15)

Piacenza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pistoiese 0 5.6% 7.0% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.2% 11.5% 7.2% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.3% 5.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.0% 5.1% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.6% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.5% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 29.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1