Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Tre Stelle
Expected Goals
2.25 (league 1.22)
1.26 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.0% | 19.8% | 20.3% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 1
8.5%
2 - 0
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Progresso | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Desenzano Calvina | 0 | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Progresso |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 67% |
| Attack | 100% | 88% |
| Defense | 75% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Progresso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 10 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 55% | 80% | 67% | 27% | 40% | 33% |
| Draws | 27% | 10% | 19% | 27% | 20% | 24% |
| Loses | 18% | 10% | 14% | 45% | 40% | 43% |
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ProgressoLLDLLWLDDLDLWWLWWWWDL
League goals
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Progresso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 17 | 40 | 9 | 14 | 23 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 11 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Desenzano Calvina | Progresso | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 52% | 62% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 14% | 38% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 5% | 10% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Progresso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Progresso |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Progresso |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-3 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Progresso |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 59.5% | 40.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.65 @ Betano
Draw3.60 @ Dafabet
Away5.00 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.95 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.76 @ Superbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.95 @ Superbet
No1.79 @ 1xBet
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League standings
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