Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Romeo Galli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.20) 1.46 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.9% 26.7% 57.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.1%
0 - 2
13.2%
0 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Progresso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Imolese 0 12.4% 18.1% 13.2% 6.4% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.8% 11.4% 8.3% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4%
2 2.4% 3.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricImoleseProgresso
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack13%38%
Defense0%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Imolese Progresso
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins18%17%17%25%36%30%
Draws27%42%35%25%18%22%
Loses55%42%48%50%45%48%

Form: Imolese: DLDWDDWLWDDLLDLLLLLLDWL • Progresso: LLDLLWLDDLDLWWLWWWWDLLL

League goals

Metric Imolese Progresso
HATHAT
GF total691591524
GF avg0.50.80.70.81.41.0
GA total131831121628
GA avg1.21.51.31.01.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineImoleseProgresso
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.548%70%61%78%
1.513%35%35%30%
2.54%22%9%9%
3.50%9%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricImoleseProgresso
HATHAT
Clean sheets257145
Failed to score6612639

Penalties

MetricImoleseProgresso
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricImoleseProgresso
Wins14
Draws22
Losses62

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-12-10-2
Biggest losses0-34-00-13-1
Goals For2323
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricImoleseProgresso
Form50%50%
Att25%75%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h93%7%
Goals89%11%
Total54.5%45.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Progresso and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Unibet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away2.60 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ Superbet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Imolese = 0.63 (league 1.20), Progresso = 1.46 (league 1.15)

Progresso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Imolese 0 12.4% 18.1% 13.2% 6.4% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.8% 11.4% 8.3% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4%
2 2.4% 3.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.9% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 57.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1