Sun, Feb 22 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Carlo Chiesa
Expected Goals
0.46 (league 1.21)
1.77 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 9.0% | 21.5% | 68.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
19.0%
0 - 2
16.8%
0 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Desenzano Calvina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sant'Angelo | 0 | 10.7% | 19.0% | 16.8% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 5.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sant'Angelo | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 87% |
| Attack | 38% | 77% |
| Defense | 46% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sant'Angelo | Desenzano Calvina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| Wins | 50% | 8% | 29% | 62% | 73% | 67% |
| Draws | 17% | 33% | 25% | 23% | 18% | 21% |
| Loses | 33% | 58% | 46% | 15% | 9% | 13% |
Sant'AngeloWLLDWWLLWDLLWLWLLDDDDLWL
Desenzano CalvinaLDWDWLWWWDDWWWWWLWWWWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Sant'Angelo | Desenzano Calvina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 7 | 24 | 28 | 17 | 45 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 15 | 21 | 36 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sant'Angelo | Desenzano Calvina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 79% | 79% | 54% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 42% | 67% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 13% | 29% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 13% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sant'Angelo | Desenzano Calvina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sant'Angelo | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sant'Angelo | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-1 | 5-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 5-1 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sant'Angelo | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 28% | 72% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 18% | 82% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 33.2% | 66.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.49 @ 1xBet
Draw3.34 @ Marathonbet
Away1.75 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.90 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.79 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.81 @ Marathonbet
No1.86 @ 1xBet
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League standings
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