Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Tre Stelle
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.20) 1.13 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.2% 21.3% 20.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 1
9.8%
2 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Crema
0 1 2 3 4 5
Desenzano Calvina 0 4.3% 4.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 8.7% 9.8% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.9% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.9% 6.6% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.0% 3.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDesenzano CalvinaCrema
Played55
Form87%60%
Attack100%71%
Defense43%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Desenzano Calvina Crema
HATHAT
Played131225131225
Wins62%75%68%31%42%36%
Draws23%17%20%23%33%28%
Loses15%8%12%46%25%36%

Form: Desenzano Calvina: LDWDWLWWWDDWWWWWLWWWWWDWW • Crema: LWWWDWLWLLDDDDLDLLWDWLWLW

League goals

Metric Desenzano Calvina Crema
HATHAT
GF total281947161531
GF avg2.21.61.91.21.31.2
GA total13518211334
GA avg1.00.40.71.61.11.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDesenzano CalvinaCrema
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%56%88%68%
1.568%12%36%44%
2.528%4%0%16%
3.58%0%0%4%
4.54%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDesenzano CalvinaCrema
HATHAT
Clean sheets4711358
Failed to score235213

Penalties

MetricDesenzano CalvinaCrema
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricDesenzano CalvinaCrema
Wins53
Draws24
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-32-00-2
Biggest losses0-11-01-53-0
Goals For5322
Goals Against3153

Model comparison

MetricDesenzano CalvinaCrema
Form59%41%
Att64%36%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h80%20%
Goals75%25%
Total65.8%34.2%

Advice: Double chance : Desenzano Calvina or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.38 @ Betano
Draw3.95 @ Betano
Away8.60 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.80 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.18 @ Marathonbet
No1.58 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Desenzano Calvina = 2.02 (league 1.20), Crema = 1.13 (league 1.15)

Crema
0 1 2 3 4 5
Desenzano Calvina 0 4.3% 4.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 8.7% 9.8% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.9% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.9% 6.6% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.0% 3.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.2% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 20.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1