Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Progresso
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.19) 0.62 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.6% 40.6% 28.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.1%
1 - 0
18.2%
0 - 1
17.4%
Score & goals probability table
Sangiuliano City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Progresso 0 28.1% 17.4% 5.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.2% 11.3% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.9% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricProgressoSangiuliano City
Played55
Form13%60%
Attack44%67%
Defense11%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Progresso Sangiuliano City
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins23%31%27%46%38%42%
Draws31%23%27%23%31%27%
Loses46%46%46%31%31%31%

Form: Progresso: LLDLLWLDDLDLWWLWWWWDLLLDDL • Sangiuliano City: WWDLDDDDLWDLWDLWWLWWLWWLWL

League goals

Metric Progresso Sangiuliano City
HATHAT
GF total91827211132
GF avg0.71.41.01.60.81.2
GA total122032181432
GA avg0.91.51.21.41.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineProgressoSangiuliano City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%77%77%62%
1.535%31%31%42%
2.512%12%12%15%
3.50%4%4%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricProgressoSangiuliano City
HATHAT
Clean sheets2463710
Failed to score7411156

Penalties

MetricProgressoSangiuliano City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricProgressoSangiuliano City
Wins42
Draws24
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-24-00-2
Biggest losses0-13-11-43-0
Goals For2343
Goals Against2443

Model comparison

MetricProgressoSangiuliano City
Form18%82%
Att40%60%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h13%88%
Goals25%75%
Total30.7%69.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sangiuliano City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.02 @ 1xBet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away2.38 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ Marathonbet
No1.65 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Progresso = 0.65 (league 1.19), Sangiuliano City = 0.62 (league 1.16)

Sangiuliano City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Progresso 0 28.1% 17.4% 5.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.2% 11.3% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.9% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.6% · Draw 40.6% · Away win 28.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1