Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadio Marcello Melani
Expected Goals
2.27 (league 1.19)
0.48 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 75.4% | 15.5% | 6.3% |
best score tips
2 - 0
16.4%
1 - 0
14.4%
3 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Trevigliese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pistoiese | 0 | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.4% | 7.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.5% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pistoiese | Trevigliese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 33% |
| Attack | 70% | 40% |
| Defense | 90% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pistoiese | Trevigliese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 62% | 62% | 62% | 7% | 31% | 19% |
| Draws | 23% | 38% | 31% | 43% | 0% | 22% |
| Loses | 15% | 0% | 8% | 50% | 69% | 59% |
Form: Pistoiese: DWWWDDWDDWWWDLWLDWWWWWDWWW • Trevigliese: LWLWLLLLLLLWLWDLDDLLDLLLDWD
League goals
| Metric | Pistoiese | Trevigliese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 23 | 42 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 9 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 24 | 45 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pistoiese | Trevigliese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 46% | 70% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 15% | 15% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 0% | 4% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 0% | 4% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pistoiese | Trevigliese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 8 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pistoiese | Trevigliese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pistoiese | Trevigliese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 7 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-4 | 4-3 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | — | 1-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pistoiese | Trevigliese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 72% | 28% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 83% | 17% |
| Poisson Distribution | 80% | 20% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 74.8% | 25.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Pistoiese or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Pistoiese = 2.27 (league 1.19), Trevigliese = 0.48 (league 1.16)
| Trevigliese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pistoiese | 0 | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.4% | 7.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.5% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.4% · Draw 15.5% · Away win 6.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1