Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadio Marcello Melani
Expected Goals
2.22 (league 1.22)
0.50 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 74.3% | 16.2% | 6.9% |
best score tips
2 - 0
16.2%
1 - 0
14.6%
3 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Trevigliese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pistoiese | 0 | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.2% | 8.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.0% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.7% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pistoiese | Trevigliese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 33% |
| Attack | 70% | 40% |
| Defense | 90% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pistoiese | Trevigliese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 62% | 62% | 62% | 7% | 31% | 19% |
| Draws | 23% | 38% | 31% | 43% | 0% | 22% |
| Loses | 15% | 0% | 8% | 50% | 69% | 59% |
PistoieseDWWWDDWDDWWWDLWLDWWWWWDWWW
TreviglieseLWLWLLLLLLLWLWDLDDLLDLLLDWD
League goals
| Metric | Pistoiese | Trevigliese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 23 | 42 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 9 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 24 | 45 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pistoiese | Trevigliese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 46% | 70% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 15% | 15% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 0% | 4% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 0% | 4% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pistoiese | Trevigliese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 8 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pistoiese | Trevigliese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pistoiese | Trevigliese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 7 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-4 | 4-3 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | — | 1-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pistoiese | Trevigliese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 72% | 28% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 83% | 17% |
| Poisson Distribution | 80% | 20% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 74.8% | 25.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.27 @ Bet365
Draw5.11 @ Pinnacle
Away12.40 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.46 @ Marathonbet
No1.53 @ William Hill
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League standings
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