Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Tre Stelle
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.19)
0.47 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.7% | 28.3% | 12.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
22.0%
0 - 0
16.3%
2 - 0
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Cittadella Vis Modena | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Desenzano Calvina | 0 | 16.3% | 7.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.0% | 10.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.8% | 6.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Cittadella Vis Modena |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 60% |
| Attack | 60% | 50% |
| Defense | 70% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Cittadella Vis Modena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 13 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 57% | 77% | 67% | 64% | 23% | 44% |
| Draws | 29% | 15% | 22% | 21% | 46% | 33% |
| Loses | 14% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 31% | 22% |
Form: Desenzano Calvina: LDWDWLWWWDDWWWWWLWWWWWDWWDW • Cittadella Vis Modena: WWLWLLLWWWDDWDWLDWDLDWWWDDD
League goals
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Cittadella Vis Modena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 28 | 21 | 49 | 23 | 8 | 31 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 13 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Desenzano Calvina | Cittadella Vis Modena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 56% | 67% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 11% | 37% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 4% | 11% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Cittadella Vis Modena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Cittadella Vis Modena |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Cittadella Vis Modena |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Cittadella Vis Modena |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 56.4% | 43.6% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Desenzano Calvina or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Desenzano Calvina = 1.35 (league 1.19), Cittadella Vis Modena = 0.47 (league 1.16)
| Cittadella Vis Modena | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Desenzano Calvina | 0 | 16.3% | 7.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.0% | 10.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.8% | 6.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.7% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 12.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1