Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 16:00 • Stadio Marcello Melani
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.22) 0.56 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.7% 25.4% 13.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.8%
2 - 0
14.5%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Crema
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pistoiese 0 12.2% 6.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.8% 10.6% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.5% 8.1% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.4% 4.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPistoieseCrema
Played55
Form87%40%
Attack100%14%
Defense71%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.61 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pistoiese Crema
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins64%60%62%27%36%31%
Draws21%40%31%33%36%34%
Loses14%0%7%40%29%34%

Form: Pistoiese: DWWWDDWDDWWWDLWLDWWWWWDWWWWDW • Crema: LWWWDWLWLLDDDDLDLLWDWLWLWDDLD

League goals

Metric Pistoiese Crema
HATHAT
GF total242751161531
GF avg1.71.81.81.11.11.1
GA total9918211536
GA avg0.60.60.61.41.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePistoieseCrema
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%48%76%62%
1.545%14%31%41%
2.531%0%0%14%
3.514%0%0%3%
4.53%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPistoieseCrema
HATHAT
Clean sheets78155611
Failed to score325437

Penalties

MetricPistoieseCrema
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPistoieseCrema
Wins53
Draws24
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-42-00-2
Biggest losses0-2—1-53-0
Goals For5422
Goals Against2253

Model comparison

MetricPistoieseCrema
Form68%32%
Att93%7%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total68.7%31.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : Pistoiese and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ Unibet
Draw5.07 @ Pinnacle
Away12.90 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.57 @ Superbet
No1.45 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pistoiese = 1.54 (league 1.22), Crema = 0.56 (league 1.17)

Crema
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pistoiese 0 12.2% 6.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.8% 10.6% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.5% 8.1% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.4% 4.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.7% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 13.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1