Thu, Apr 2 2026 • 13:00 • Stadio Comunale Giovanni Battista Maffeis
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.21) 0.96 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.9% 34.9% 42.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.7%
0 - 1
19.8%
1 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Desenzano Calvina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rovato Vertovese 0 20.7% 19.8% 9.5% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.8% 12.3% 5.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.0% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRovato VertoveseDesenzano Calvina
Played55
Form60%87%
Attack29%50%
Defense86%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rovato Vertovese Desenzano Calvina
HATHAT
Played151429151328
Wins60%29%45%60%77%68%
Draws27%29%28%27%15%21%
Loses13%43%28%13%8%11%

Form: Rovato Vertovese: WLDLLWWDLWWDLDWLWDLWLWWWDWDWD • Desenzano Calvina: LDWDWLWWWDDWWWWWLWWWWWDWWDWW

League goals

Metric Rovato Vertovese Desenzano Calvina
HATHAT
GF total22931292150
GF avg1.50.61.11.91.61.8
GA total10152513619
GA avg0.71.10.90.90.50.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRovato VertoveseDesenzano Calvina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%59%79%54%
1.541%17%64%11%
2.53%7%25%4%
3.50%3%7%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRovato VertoveseDesenzano Calvina
HATHAT
Clean sheets75126713
Failed to score3811336

Penalties

MetricRovato VertoveseDesenzano Calvina
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricRovato VertoveseDesenzano Calvina
Wins35
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-25-10-3
Biggest losses1-24-00-11-0
Goals For3253
Goals Against2431

Model comparison

MetricRovato VertoveseDesenzano Calvina
Form41%59%
Att36%64%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total43.3%56.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Desenzano Calvina and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.45 @ 10Bet
Draw3.30 @ Dafabet
Away2.02 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.65 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Superbet
No1.82 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rovato Vertovese = 0.62 (league 1.21), Desenzano Calvina = 0.96 (league 1.17)

Desenzano Calvina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rovato Vertovese 0 20.7% 19.8% 9.5% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.8% 12.3% 5.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.0% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.9% · Draw 34.9% · Away win 42.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1