Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadio Ernesto Breda
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.21)
1.47 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.5% | 26.6% | 55.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
16.9%
0 - 2
12.4%
1 - 1
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Pistoiese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pro Sesto | 0 | 11.5% | 16.9% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pro Sesto | Pistoiese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 87% |
| Attack | 43% | 100% |
| Defense | 36% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pro Sesto | Pistoiese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 47% | 47% | 47% | 67% | 60% | 63% |
| Draws | 27% | 33% | 30% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
| Loses | 27% | 20% | 23% | 13% | 0% | 7% |
Pro SestoWWWDDLWDWDDWWWLWWLDWDWDLWLLWLD
PistoieseDWWWDDWDDWWWDLWLDWWWWWDWWWWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Pro Sesto | Pistoiese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 21 | 42 | 28 | 27 | 55 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 13 | 13 | 26 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pro Sesto | Pistoiese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 53% | 83% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 27% | 47% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 3% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 3% | 17% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pro Sesto | Pistoiese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 6 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pro Sesto | Pistoiese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pro Sesto | Pistoiese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 2-0 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pro Sesto | Pistoiese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 24% | 76% |
| Att | 30% | 70% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 32% | 68% |
| H2h | 88% | 13% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 45.3% | 54.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.34 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away1.83 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.70 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.88 @ Marathonbet
No1.80 @ William Hill
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League standings
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