Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadio Comunale Daniele Grandi
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.22)
1.68 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.4% | 23.9% | 58.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.8%
0 - 2
12.4%
1 - 1
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Piacenza | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Coriano | 0 | 8.8% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Piacenza carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 113 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Coriano +25.0, Piacenza +10.4.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Coriano
vs
Piacenza
Elo gapPiacenza +113
Home / draw / away28% / 18% / 54%
Expected home share34%
Combined Elo3027.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3027.8
Elo home share
34%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Coriano | Piacenza |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1439.7 | 1588.1 |
| Form Elo | 1456 | 1595.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1459.9 | 1539.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1422.7 | 1606.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1494.2 | 1588.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +25.0 | +10.4 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Coriano last-5 Elo change: +25.0; Piacenza last-5 Elo change: +10.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Coriano | Piacenza |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 50% | 83% |
| Defense | 58% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Coriano | Piacenza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 19% | 19% | 19% | 63% | 50% | 56% |
| Draws | 25% | 31% | 28% | 25% | 19% | 22% |
| Loses | 56% | 50% | 53% | 13% | 31% | 22% |
CorianoDLDLWLWDLLLLLDLLLDLDLWLWLDDLDLWW
PiacenzaWLDWDDWLWWDDWWWWWLDWWLLWLWWWLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Coriano | Piacenza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 16 | 27 | 30 | 27 | 57 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 17 | 27 | 44 | 12 | 21 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Coriano | Piacenza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 59% | 84% | 84% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 38% | 56% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 3% | 13% | 28% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Coriano | Piacenza | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 8 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Coriano | Piacenza |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Coriano | Piacenza |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-1 | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Coriano | Piacenza |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 31% | 69% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 36.0% | 64.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…