Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Buitoni
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.27)
1.95 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 14.3% | 21.0% | 63.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
12.7%
0 - 2
12.3%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Gavorrano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sansepolcro | 0 | 6.5% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sansepolcro | Gavorrano |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 50% | 100% |
| Attack | 8% | 33% |
| Defense | 83% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.5 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sansepolcro | Gavorrano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Sansepolcro: WL • Gavorrano: WW
League goals
| Metric | Sansepolcro | Gavorrano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sansepolcro | Gavorrano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 50% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sansepolcro | Gavorrano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sansepolcro | Gavorrano |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sansepolcro | Gavorrano |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sansepolcro | Gavorrano |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 40.6% | 59.4% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Gavorrano and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sansepolcro = 0.79 (league 1.27), Gavorrano = 1.95 (league 1.03)
| Gavorrano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sansepolcro | 0 | 6.5% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.3% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 63.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1