Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Olimpico Carlo Zecchini
Expected Goals
3.17 (league 1.26)
1.96 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.0% | 15.8% | 20.6% |
best score tips
3 - 1
6.2%
3 - 2
6.0%
2 - 1
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Montevarchi Calcio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Grosseto | 0 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Grosseto | Montevarchi Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 50% | 17% |
| Attack | 17% | 25% |
| Defense | 83% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Grosseto | Montevarchi Calcio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
Form: Grosseto: LW • Montevarchi Calcio: LD
League goals
| Metric | Grosseto | Montevarchi Calcio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Grosseto | Montevarchi Calcio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Grosseto | Montevarchi Calcio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Grosseto | Montevarchi Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Grosseto | Montevarchi Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | — | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Grosseto | Montevarchi Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 56.6% | 43.4% |
Advice: Double chance : Grosseto or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Grosseto = 3.17 (league 1.26), Montevarchi Calcio = 1.96 (league 1.02)
| Montevarchi Calcio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Grosseto | 0 | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.0% · Draw 15.8% · Away win 20.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1