Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Stefano Lotti
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.26) 1.37 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.0% 24.4% 32.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Sansepolcro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Poggibonsi 0 5.2% 7.1% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.3% 11.3% 7.7% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.5% 9.0% 6.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.5% 4.7% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPoggibonsiSansepolcro
Played33
Form0%44%
Attack10%20%
Defense40%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.32 | 0.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 23 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Poggibonsi Sansepolcro
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins0%0%0%50%0%33%
Draws0%0%0%50%0%33%
Loses100%100%100%0%100%33%

Form: Poggibonsi: LLL • Sansepolcro: WLD

League goals

Metric Poggibonsi Sansepolcro
HATHAT
GF total101202
GF avg1.00.00.31.00.00.7
GA total246123
GA avg2.02.02.00.52.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePoggibonsiSansepolcro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.533%100%67%67%
1.50%100%0%33%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPoggibonsiSansepolcro
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricPoggibonsiSansepolcro
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPoggibonsiSansepolcro
Wins01
Draws00
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——1-0—
Biggest losses1-22-0—2-0
Goals For1010
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricPoggibonsiSansepolcro
Form0%100%
Att33%67%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h80%20%
Goals100%0%
Total48.7%51.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Poggibonsi or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Bet365
Draw3.25 @ William Hill
Away2.70 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Superbet
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Poggibonsi = 1.59 (league 1.26), Sansepolcro = 1.37 (league 1.02)

Sansepolcro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Poggibonsi 0 5.2% 7.1% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.3% 11.3% 7.7% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.5% 9.0% 6.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.5% 4.7% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.0% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 32.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1