Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Lungobisenzio
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.27) 0.73 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.4% 36.5% 30.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.0%
1 - 0
17.3%
0 - 1
16.0%
Score & goals probability table
Gavorrano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Prato 0 22.0% 16.0% 5.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.3% 12.6% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.8% 4.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPratoGavorrano
Played44
Form25%58%
Attack28%28%
Defense67%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.35 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.54 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Prato Gavorrano
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%0%25%50%50%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%25%
Loses50%100%75%50%0%25%

Form: Prato: LLWL • Gavorrano: WWDL

League goals

Metric Prato Gavorrano
HATHAT
GF total235235
GF avg1.01.51.31.01.51.3
GA total156224
GA avg0.52.51.51.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePratoGavorrano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%75%100%
1.550%50%50%0%
2.50%25%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPratoGavorrano
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricPratoGavorrano
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPratoGavorrano
Wins12
Draws01
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-11-2
Biggest losses0-13-20-1
Goals For2222
Goals Against1311

Model comparison

MetricPratoGavorrano
Form30%70%
Att50%50%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total44.3%55.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Gavorrano

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Prato = 0.79 (league 1.27), Gavorrano = 0.73 (league 1.03)

Gavorrano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Prato 0 22.0% 16.0% 5.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.3% 12.6% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.8% 4.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.4% · Draw 36.5% · Away win 30.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1