Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri
Expected Goals
2.36 (league 1.27)
0.73 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.4% | 16.5% | 9.8% |
best score tips
2 - 0
12.7%
1 - 0
10.8%
3 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Sporting Trestina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montevarchi Calcio | 0 | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.8% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.7% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Sporting Trestina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 33% | 25% |
| Attack | 39% | 22% |
| Defense | 44% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.8 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2.5 | 4 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Sporting Trestina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 50% | 50% | 100% | 75% |
Form: Montevarchi Calcio: LDLW • Sporting Trestina: LWLL
League goals
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Sporting Trestina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 3 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Montevarchi Calcio | Sporting Trestina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 75% | 25% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 50% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Sporting Trestina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Sporting Trestina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Sporting Trestina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | — | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-2 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Sporting Trestina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 55.3% | 44.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Montevarchi Calcio or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Montevarchi Calcio = 2.36 (league 1.27), Sporting Trestina = 0.73 (league 1.03)
| Sporting Trestina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montevarchi Calcio | 0 | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.8% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.7% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.4% · Draw 16.5% · Away win 9.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1