Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Comunale Mario Matteini
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.27)
0.49 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.7% | 24.6% | 11.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.1%
2 - 0
15.8%
0 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Sansepolcro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Terranuova Traiana | 0 | 12.8% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.1% | 9.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.8% | 7.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Terranuova Traiana | Sansepolcro |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 40% |
| Attack | 40% | 40% |
| Defense | 50% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
58%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Terranuova Traiana | Sansepolcro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 40% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
| Loses | 50% | 67% | 60% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
Form: Terranuova Traiana: WLLWL • Sansepolcro: WLDDD
League goals
| Metric | Terranuova Traiana | Sansepolcro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Terranuova Traiana | Sansepolcro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 40% | 20% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Terranuova Traiana | Sansepolcro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Terranuova Traiana | Sansepolcro |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Terranuova Traiana | Sansepolcro |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Terranuova Traiana | Sansepolcro |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 55.3% | 44.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Terranuova Traiana or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Terranuova Traiana = 1.57 (league 1.27), Sansepolcro = 0.49 (league 1.03)
| Sansepolcro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Terranuova Traiana | 0 | 12.8% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.1% | 9.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.8% | 7.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.3% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.7% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 11.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1