Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Stefano Lotti
Expected Goals
2.95 (league 1.27)
2.92 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.6% | 16.6% | 34.0% |
best score tips
2 - 2
5.2%
3 - 2
5.1%
2 - 3
5.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Prato | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Poggibonsi | 0 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 0.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Poggibonsi | Prato |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 40% |
| Attack | 40% | 70% |
| Defense | 10% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Poggibonsi | Prato | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
| Draws | 50% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 67% | 60% | 33% | 100% | 60% |
Form: Poggibonsi: LLLDD • Prato: LLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Poggibonsi | Prato | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Poggibonsi | Prato | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 100% | 80% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 80% | 60% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Poggibonsi | Prato | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Poggibonsi | Prato |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Poggibonsi | Prato |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Poggibonsi | Prato |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 36.0% | 64.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Prato
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Poggibonsi = 2.95 (league 1.27), Prato = 2.92 (league 1.03)
| Prato | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Poggibonsi | 0 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 0.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.6% · Draw 16.6% · Away win 34.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1