Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Lorenzo Casini
Expected Goals
2.38 (league 1.26)
0.98 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.0% | 17.7% | 13.8% |
best score tips
2 - 0
9.9%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Grosseto | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sporting Trestina | 0 | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.9% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.8% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Grosseto |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 56% | 100% |
| Defense | 44% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Grosseto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 20% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 20% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 50% | 67% | 60% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
Form: Sporting Trestina: LWLLD • Grosseto: LWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Grosseto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sporting Trestina | Grosseto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 80% | 100% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 20% | 40% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 40% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Grosseto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Grosseto |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Grosseto |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-1 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Grosseto |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 44.2% | 55.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Grosseto
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sporting Trestina = 2.38 (league 1.26), Grosseto = 0.98 (league 1.02)
| Grosseto | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sporting Trestina | 0 | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.9% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.8% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.0% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 13.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1