Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Comunale Pianigiani
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.27)
0.68 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.9% | 23.0% | 14.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.5%
2 - 0
13.4%
1 - 1
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Gavorrano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| San Donato Tavarnelle | 0 | 8.9% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.5% | 10.5% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.4% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.8% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Gavorrano |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 27% |
| Attack | 67% | 33% |
| Defense | 33% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Gavorrano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 17% | 67% | 33% | 50% |
Form: San Donato Tavarnelle: WDWWDL • Gavorrano: WWDLLL
League goals
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Gavorrano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | San Donato Tavarnelle | Gavorrano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 83% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 17% | 33% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Gavorrano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Gavorrano |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Gavorrano |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Gavorrano |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 58.3% | 41.7% |
Advice: Double chance : San Donato Tavarnelle or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): San Donato Tavarnelle = 1.74 (league 1.27), Gavorrano = 0.68 (league 1.03)
| Gavorrano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| San Donato Tavarnelle | 0 | 8.9% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.5% | 10.5% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.4% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.8% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.9% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 14.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1