Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.27) 0.89 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.6% 23.6% 18.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.6%
1 - 1
11.2%
2 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Orvietana Calcio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montevarchi Calcio 0 7.3% 6.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.6% 11.2% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.0% 9.7% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.3% 5.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMontevarchi CalcioOrvietana Calcio
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack67%56%
Defense22%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Montevarchi Calcio Orvietana Calcio
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%0%17%33%33%33%
Draws67%33%50%0%0%0%
Loses0%67%33%67%67%67%

Form: Montevarchi Calcio: LDLWDD • Orvietana Calcio: WLLLLW

League goals

Metric Montevarchi Calcio Orvietana Calcio
HATHAT
GF total538426
GF avg1.71.01.31.30.71.0
GA total4711549
GA avg1.32.31.81.71.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMontevarchi CalcioOrvietana Calcio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%67%83%
1.533%50%17%50%
2.517%33%17%17%
3.50%17%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMontevarchi CalcioOrvietana Calcio
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricMontevarchi CalcioOrvietana Calcio
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMontevarchi CalcioOrvietana Calcio
Wins11
Draws10
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-23-10-1
Biggest losses4-20-23-1
Goals For3231
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricMontevarchi CalcioOrvietana Calcio
Form67%33%
Att55%45%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h64%36%
Goals67%33%
Total61.3%38.7%

Advice: Double chance : Montevarchi Calcio or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.19 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ Marathonbet
Away2.96 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.80 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Marathonbet
No1.98 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Montevarchi Calcio = 1.74 (league 1.27), Orvietana Calcio = 0.89 (league 1.03)

Orvietana Calcio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montevarchi Calcio 0 7.3% 6.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.6% 11.2% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.0% 9.7% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.3% 5.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.6% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 18.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1