Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Lungobisenzio
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.28)
0.21 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1% | 28.0% | 5.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
28.6%
0 - 0
21.6%
2 - 0
19.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Sansepolcro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Prato | 0 | 21.6% | 4.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 28.6% | 5.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.0% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Prato | Sansepolcro |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 100% | 33% |
| Defense | 33% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Prato | Sansepolcro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Loses | 33% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
Form: Prato: LLWLWW • Sansepolcro: WLDDDD
League goals
| Metric | Prato | Sansepolcro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 1 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Prato | Sansepolcro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 67% | 50% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | 17% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Prato | Sansepolcro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Prato | Sansepolcro |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Prato | Sansepolcro |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-2 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Prato | Sansepolcro |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 67.8% | 32.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Prato or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Prato = 1.32 (league 1.28), Sansepolcro = 0.21 (league 1.02)
| Sansepolcro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Prato | 0 | 21.6% | 4.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 28.6% | 5.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.0% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.1% · Draw 28.0% · Away win 5.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1