Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Stefano Lotti
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.27)
1.95 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.1% | 21.5% | 42.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
8.5%
1 - 2
8.3%
2 - 1
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
| San Donato Tavarnelle | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Poggibonsi | 0 | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Poggibonsi | San Donato Tavarnelle |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 53% |
| Attack | 36% | 43% |
| Defense | 29% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Poggibonsi | San Donato Tavarnelle | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
| Loses | 67% | 75% | 71% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
Form: Poggibonsi: LLLDDLL • San Donato Tavarnelle: WDWWDLD
League goals
| Metric | Poggibonsi | San Donato Tavarnelle | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Poggibonsi | San Donato Tavarnelle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 100% | 71% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 86% | 43% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Poggibonsi | San Donato Tavarnelle | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Poggibonsi | San Donato Tavarnelle |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Poggibonsi | San Donato Tavarnelle |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | — | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Poggibonsi | San Donato Tavarnelle |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 39.2% | 61.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or San Donato Tavarnelle
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Poggibonsi = 1.74 (league 1.27), San Donato Tavarnelle = 1.95 (league 1.03)
| San Donato Tavarnelle | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Poggibonsi | 0 | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.1% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 42.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1