Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Luigi Muzi
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.27)
2.81 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.4% | 16.0% | 61.7% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.4%
1 - 3
7.8%
0 - 2
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Grosseto | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Orvietana Calcio | 0 | 1.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Orvietana Calcio | Grosseto |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 87% |
| Attack | 64% | 79% |
| Defense | 50% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Orvietana Calcio | Grosseto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 33% | 50% | 43% | 75% | 67% | 71% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
| Loses | 67% | 50% | 57% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
Form: Orvietana Calcio: WLLLLWW • Grosseto: LWWWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Orvietana Calcio | Grosseto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Orvietana Calcio | Grosseto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 71% | 100% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 43% | 43% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 14% | 43% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Orvietana Calcio | Grosseto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Orvietana Calcio | Grosseto |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Orvietana Calcio | Grosseto |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-4 | 3-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Orvietana Calcio | Grosseto |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 32% | 68% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 26% | 74% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 37.7% | 62.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Grosseto
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Orvietana Calcio = 1.33 (league 1.27), Grosseto = 2.81 (league 1.03)
| Grosseto | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Orvietana Calcio | 0 | 1.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.4% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 61.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1