Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Comunale Pianigiani
Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.27)
0.62 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.1% | 22.4% | 12.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.2%
2 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Sansepolcro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| San Donato Tavarnelle | 0 | 9.2% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.2% | 10.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.3% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.4% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Sansepolcro |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 20% |
| Attack | 36% | 27% |
| Defense | 55% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Sansepolcro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| Draws | 50% | 25% | 38% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 13% | 25% | 50% | 38% |
Form: San Donato Tavarnelle: WDWWDLDW • Sansepolcro: WLDDDDLL
League goals
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Sansepolcro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | San Donato Tavarnelle | Sansepolcro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 50% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 13% | 13% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Sansepolcro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Sansepolcro |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Sansepolcro |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | San Donato Tavarnelle | Sansepolcro |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 52.0% | 48.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : San Donato Tavarnelle or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): San Donato Tavarnelle = 1.77 (league 1.27), Sansepolcro = 0.62 (league 1.03)
| Sansepolcro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| San Donato Tavarnelle | 0 | 9.2% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.2% | 10.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.3% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.4% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.1% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 12.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1