Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Lorenzo Casini
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.26)
0.35 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4% | 21.0% | 6.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
21.5%
2 - 0
18.8%
0 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Poggibonsi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sporting Trestina | 0 | 12.3% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.5% | 7.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.8% | 6.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.0% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Poggibonsi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 7% |
| Attack | 36% | 29% |
| Defense | 71% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Poggibonsi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 40% | 20% | 30% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 40% | 20% | 40% | 20% | 30% |
| Loses | 60% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 80% | 70% |
Form: Sporting Trestina: LWLLDLWDLW • Poggibonsi: LLLDDLLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Poggibonsi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 19 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sporting Trestina | Poggibonsi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 80% | 70% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 10% | 10% | 70% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Poggibonsi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Poggibonsi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Poggibonsi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Poggibonsi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 88% | 13% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 80% | 20% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 64.0% | 36.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Sporting Trestina or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sporting Trestina = 1.75 (league 1.26), Poggibonsi = 0.35 (league 1.04)
| Poggibonsi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sporting Trestina | 0 | 12.3% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.5% | 7.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.8% | 6.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.0% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.4% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 6.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1