Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.26)
1.54 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.3% | 25.4% | 46.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 1
10.8%
1 - 2
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Gavorrano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montevarchi Calcio | 0 | 7.0% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Gavorrano |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 7% |
| Attack | 21% | 14% |
| Defense | 36% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Gavorrano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Draws | 60% | 20% | 40% | 0% | 40% | 20% |
| Loses | 20% | 60% | 40% | 80% | 40% | 60% |
Form: Montevarchi Calcio: LDLWDDLWDL • Gavorrano: WWDLLLDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Gavorrano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 8 | 12 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Montevarchi Calcio | Gavorrano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 80% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 60% | 20% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 40% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Gavorrano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Gavorrano |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Gavorrano |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 2-3 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Montevarchi Calcio | Gavorrano |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 83% | 17% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 57.8% | 42.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Montevarchi Calcio or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Montevarchi Calcio = 1.11 (league 1.26), Gavorrano = 1.54 (league 1.04)
| Gavorrano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montevarchi Calcio | 0 | 7.0% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.3% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 46.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1