Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Stefano Lotti
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.90 (league 1.26) 1.88 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.5% 21.3% 37.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.2%
2 - 1
7.8%
1 - 2
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Montevarchi Calcio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Poggibonsi 0 2.3% 4.3% 4.0% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4%
1 4.3% 8.2% 7.7% 4.8% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.1% 7.8% 7.3% 4.6% 2.1% 0.8%
3 2.6% 4.9% 4.6% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.2% 2.3% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPoggibonsiMontevarchi Calcio
Played55
Form7%27%
Attack30%30%
Defense10%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Poggibonsi Montevarchi Calcio
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins0%0%0%17%20%18%
Draws40%17%27%50%20%36%
Loses60%83%73%33%60%45%

Form: Poggibonsi: LLLDDLLLLDL • Montevarchi Calcio: LDLWDDLWDLL

League goals

Metric Poggibonsi Montevarchi Calcio
HATHAT
GF total5385611
GF avg1.00.50.70.81.21.0
GA total8122091221
GA avg1.62.01.81.52.41.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePoggibonsiMontevarchi Calcio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%100%55%82%
1.59%64%27%55%
2.50%18%18%36%
3.50%0%0%18%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPoggibonsiMontevarchi Calcio
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score134325

Penalties

MetricPoggibonsiMontevarchi Calcio
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPoggibonsiMontevarchi Calcio
Wins01
Draws22
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——3-22-3
Biggest losses1-23-10-43-0
Goals For2133
Goals Against2344

Model comparison

MetricPoggibonsiMontevarchi Calcio
Form20%80%
Att50%50%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h36%64%
Goals40%60%
Total40.7%59.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Montevarchi Calcio

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.81 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.09 @ Pinnacle
Away2.47 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Superbet
No1.89 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Poggibonsi = 1.90 (league 1.26), Montevarchi Calcio = 1.88 (league 1.02)

Montevarchi Calcio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Poggibonsi 0 2.3% 4.3% 4.0% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4%
1 4.3% 8.2% 7.7% 4.8% 2.2% 0.8%
2 4.1% 7.8% 7.3% 4.6% 2.1% 0.8%
3 2.6% 4.9% 4.6% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.2% 2.3% 2.2% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.5% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 37.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1