Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Romeo Malservisi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.32 (league 1.26) 2.19 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.2% 14.9% 78.5%
best score tips
0 - 2
19.5%
0 - 1
17.8%
0 - 3
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Grosseto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gavorrano 0 8.1% 17.8% 19.5% 14.3% 7.8% 3.4%
1 2.6% 5.7% 6.2% 4.5% 2.5% 1.1%
2 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGavorranoGrosseto
Played55
Form27%100%
Attack30%100%
Defense30%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.613 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gavorrano Grosseto
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins20%33%27%83%80%82%
Draws0%33%18%17%0%9%
Loses80%33%55%0%20%9%

Form: Gavorrano: WWDLLLDLLLW • Grosseto: LWWWDWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Gavorrano Grosseto
HATHAT
GF total26815823
GF avg0.41.00.72.51.62.1
GA total7714358
GA avg1.41.21.30.51.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGavorranoGrosseto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%91%100%55%
1.518%36%55%18%
2.50%0%45%0%
3.50%0%9%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGavorranoGrosseto
HATHAT
Clean sheets011325
Failed to score415000

Penalties

MetricGavorranoGrosseto
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricGavorranoGrosseto
Wins23
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-24-02-3
Biggest losses0-22-0—2-1
Goals For2243
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricGavorranoGrosseto
Form21%79%
Att19%81%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution10%90%
H2h38%62%
Goals42%58%
Total25.3%74.7%

Advice: Winner : Grosseto

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gavorrano = 0.32 (league 1.26), Grosseto = 2.19 (league 1.02)

Grosseto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gavorrano 0 8.1% 17.8% 19.5% 14.3% 7.8% 3.4%
1 2.6% 5.7% 6.2% 4.5% 2.5% 1.1%
2 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.2% · Draw 14.9% · Away win 78.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1