Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Comunale Artemio Franchi - Montepaschi Arena
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.26)
0.16 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.4% | 32.4% | 5.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
31.2%
0 - 0
27.3%
2 - 0
17.8%
Score & goals probability table
| San Donato Tavarnelle | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Robur Siena | 0 | 27.3% | 4.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 31.2% | 4.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.8% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Robur Siena | San Donato Tavarnelle |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Attack | 50% | 30% |
| Defense | 60% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Robur Siena | San Donato Tavarnelle | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 60% | 50% | 55% | 50% | 40% | 45% |
| Draws | 20% | 33% | 27% | 33% | 20% | 27% |
| Loses | 20% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 40% | 27% |
Form: Robur Siena: LWWDWWWWDDL • San Donato Tavarnelle: WDWWDLDWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Robur Siena | San Donato Tavarnelle | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Robur Siena | San Donato Tavarnelle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 36% | 64% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 9% | 27% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Robur Siena | San Donato Tavarnelle | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Robur Siena | San Donato Tavarnelle |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Robur Siena | San Donato Tavarnelle |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Robur Siena | San Donato Tavarnelle |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 86% | 14% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 68.7% | 31.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Robur Siena or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Robur Siena = 1.14 (league 1.26), San Donato Tavarnelle = 0.16 (league 1.02)
| San Donato Tavarnelle | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Robur Siena | 0 | 27.3% | 4.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 31.2% | 4.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.8% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.4% · Draw 32.4% · Away win 5.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1