Orvietana Calcio vs Poggibonsi

Serie D - Girone E — Italy

Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Luigi Muzi

Match Finished

Orvietana Calcio

4 - 0

Poggibonsi

Expected Goals

1.27 (league 1.26) 0.82 (league 1.04)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
46.9%	29.0%	23.9%

best score tips

1 - 0

15.7%

1 - 1

12.9%

0 - 0

12.4%

Score & goals probability table

		Poggibonsi
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Orvietana Calcio	0	12.4%	10.1%	4.1%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
	1	15.7%	12.9%	5.3%	1.4%	0.3%	0.0%
	2	10.0%	8.2%	3.4%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	4.2%	3.5%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	1.3%	1.1%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Orvietana Calcio	Poggibonsi
Played	5	5
Form	13%	7%
Attack	21%	14%
Defense	50%	50%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	2 \| 0.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	7 \| 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%

FT probability

2.5+

50%

FT probability

3.5+

35%

FT probability

BTTS

69%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Orvietana Calcio			Poggibonsi
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	6	6	12	6	6	12
Wins	17%	33%	25%	0%	0%	0%
Draws	0%	33%	17%	33%	17%	25%
Loses	83%	33%	58%	67%	83%	75%

Form: Orvietana Calcio: WLLLLWWLDLLD • Poggibonsi: LLLDDLLLLDLL

League goals

Metric	Orvietana Calcio			Poggibonsi
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	5	8	13	5	3	8
GF avg	0.8	1.3	1.1	0.8	0.5	0.7
GA total	10	6	16	9	12	21
GA avg	1.7	1.0	1.3	1.5	2.0	1.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Orvietana Calcio		Poggibonsi
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	58%	75%	58%	100%
1.5	25%	50%	8%	58%
2.5	17%	8%	0%	17%
3.5	8%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Orvietana Calcio			Poggibonsi
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	0	3	3	0	0	0
Failed to score	3	2	5	2	3	5

Penalties

Metric	Orvietana Calcio	Poggibonsi
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	1

Streaks

Metric	Orvietana Calcio	Poggibonsi
Wins	2	0
Draws	1	2
Losses	4	4

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-1	0-4	—	—
Biggest losses	0-2	3-1	1-2	3-1
Goals For	3	4	2	1
Goals Against	2	3	2	3

Model comparison

Metric	Orvietana Calcio	Poggibonsi
Form	67%	33%
Att	60%	40%
Def	50%	50%
Poisson Distribution	58%	42%
H2h	15%	85%
Goals	22%	78%
Total	45.3%	54.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Orvietana Calcio or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ 1xBet

Draw3.22 @ Marathonbet

Away3.30 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ Marathonbet

Under 2.51.73 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ Marathonbet

No1.90 @ 1xBet

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

Marathonbet Updated: 2025-11-23T08:00:53+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.04
Draw	3.22
Away	3.20

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.38
Draw	2.38
Away	3.54

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	3.48
Away -1.25	1.22
Home -1	3.05
Away -1	1.28
Home -0.75	2.35
Away -0.75	1.47
Home -0.25	1.75
Away -0.25	1.88
Home +0	1.51
Away +0	2.34
Home +0.25	1.36
Away +0.25	2.69
Home +0.75	1.18
Away +0.75	3.92
Home -2	7.30
Away -2	1.03
Home +1	1.07
Away +1	5.90
Home -1.5	3.88
Away -1.5	1.18
Home +1.5	1.04
Away +1.5	6.75
Home -2.5	8.10
Away -2.5	1.02

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.29
Under 1.5	3.04
Over 1.75	1.36
Under 1.75	2.69
Over 2.0	1.48
Under 2.0	2.33
Over 2.25	1.71
Under 2.25	1.92
Over 2.5	1.97
Under 2.5	1.73
Over 2.75	2.21
Under 2.75	1.53
Over 3.5	3.34
Under 3.5	1.24
Over 1.0	1.04
Under 1.0	7.00
Over 1.25	1.16
Under 1.25	4.05
Over 3.0	2.70
Under 3.0	1.36
Over 3.25	3.05
Under 3.25	1.28
Over 4.0	5.75
Under 4.0	1.07

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.83
Under 1.5	1.34
Over 0.5	1.39
Under 0.5	2.63
Over 1.0	1.90
Under 1.0	1.78

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.18
Under 1.5	1.59
Over 2.0	3.66
Under 2.0	1.21
Over 1.0	1.47
Under 1.0	2.39

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.77
No	1.87

Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result

Selection	Odds
Home -1	3.88
Away -1	1.61
Draw -1	3.55
Home +1	1.26
Draw +1	4.60
Away +1	6.75

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.26
Home/Away	1.25
Draw/Away	1.61

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.64
Draw	2.05
Away	3.88

Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First

Selection	Odds
Home	1.76
Draw	8.20
Away	2.31

Bet ID 15 — Team To Score Last

Selection	Odds
Home	1.76
Draw	8.20
Away	2.31

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.15
Under 1.5	1.61
Over 1	1.44
Under 1	2.51
Over 2	3.66
Under 2	1.22

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.93
Under 1.5	1.33
Over 1	1.94
Under 1	1.75
Over 2	6.15
Under 2	1.06

1xBet Updated: 2025-11-23T08:00:53+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.06
Draw	3.22
Away	3.27

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.40
Draw	2.38
Away	3.67

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	3.48
Away -1.25	1.22
Home -1	3.05
Away -1	1.28
Home -0.75	2.35
Away -0.75	1.47
Home -0.25	1.75
Away -0.25	1.88
Home +0	1.51
Away +0	2.34
Home +0.25	1.36
Away +0.25	2.69
Home +0.75	1.18
Away +0.75	3.92
Home -2	7.30
Away -2	1.03
Home +1	1.07
Away +1	5.90
Home -1.5	3.88
Away -1.5	1.18
Home +1.5	1.04
Away +1.5	6.75
Home -2.5	8.10
Away -2.5	1.02

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.29
Under 1.5	3.04
Over 1.75	1.36
Under 1.75	2.69
Over 2.0	1.48
Under 2.0	2.33
Over 2.25	1.71
Under 2.25	1.92
Over 2.5	1.97
Under 2.5	1.73
Over 2.75	2.21
Under 2.75	1.53
Over 3.5	3.34
Under 3.5	1.24
Over 1.0	1.04
Under 1.0	7.00
Over 1.25	1.16
Under 1.25	4.05
Over 3.0	2.70
Under 3.0	1.36
Over 4.5	6.15
Under 4.5	1.09
Over 3.25	3.05
Under 3.25	1.28
Over 4.0	5.75
Under 4.0	1.07
Over 5.5	10.00
Under 5.5	1.02

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.83
Under 1.5	1.34
Over 2.5	7.20
Under 2.5	1.06
Over 0.5	1.39
Under 0.5	2.63
Over 0.75	1.56
Under 0.75	2.21
Over 1.0	1.90
Under 1.0	1.78
Over 1.25	2.40
Under 1.25	1.48

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.18
Under 1.5	1.59
Over 1.75	2.64
Under 1.75	1.40
Over 2.0	3.66
Under 2.0	1.21
Over 2.5	4.70
Under 2.5	1.15
Over 0.5	1.24
Under 0.5	3.60
Over 1.0	1.47
Under 1.0	2.39
Over 1.25	1.83
Under 1.25	1.83

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	16.00
Home/Away	33.00
Draw/Away	7.30
Draw/Draw	4.60
Home/Home	3.50
Draw/Home	5.40
Away/Home	25.00
Away/Draw	16.00
Away/Away	5.20

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.77
No	1.90

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	4.60
2:0	6.00
2:1	5.80
3:0	12.00
3:1	11.00
3:2	20.00
4:0	30.00
4:1	29.00
0:0	6.00
1:1	4.10
2:2	9.40
0:1	6.20
0:2	11.00
0:3	30.00
1:2	7.60
1:3	21.00
2:3	28.00
3:3	50.00
0:4	100.00
1:4	80.00
2:4	100.00
4:2	50.00
0:5	100.00
0:6	100.00
1:5	100.00
1:6	100.00
2:5	100.00
2:6	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	100.00
5:1	100.00
5:2	100.00
6:0	100.00
6:1	100.00
6:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
3:6	100.00
4:5	100.00
4:6	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
5:6	100.00
6:3	100.00
6:4	100.00
6:5	100.00
4:4	100.00
7:0	100.00
7:1	100.00
7:2	100.00
7:3	100.00
7:4	100.00
7:5	100.00
7:6	100.00
8:0	100.00
8:1	100.00
8:2	100.00
8:3	100.00
8:4	100.00
8:5	100.00
8:6	100.00
8:7	100.00
9:0	100.00
9:1	100.00
9:2	100.00
9:3	100.00
9:4	100.00
9:5	100.00
9:6	100.00
9:7	100.00
9:8	100.00
10:0	100.00
10:1	100.00
10:2	100.00
10:3	100.00
10:4	100.00
10:5	100.00
10:6	100.00
10:7	100.00
10:8	100.00
10:9	100.00
5:5	100.00
6:6	100.00
7:7	100.00
8:8	100.00
9:9	100.00
10:10	100.00
0:7	100.00
0:8	100.00
0:9	100.00
0:10	100.00
1:7	100.00
1:8	100.00
1:9	100.00
1:10	100.00
2:7	100.00
2:8	100.00
2:9	100.00
2:10	100.00
3:7	100.00
3:8	100.00
3:9	100.00
3:10	100.00
4:7	100.00
4:8	100.00
4:9	100.00
4:10	100.00
5:7	100.00
5:8	100.00
5:9	100.00
5:10	100.00
6:7	100.00
6:8	100.00
6:9	100.00
6:10	100.00
7:8	100.00
7:9	100.00
7:10	100.00
8:9	100.00
8:10	100.00
9:10	100.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.32
1st Half	3.02
2nd Half	2.05

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.26
Home/Away	1.25
Draw/Away	1.61

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.66
Draw	2.05
Away	4.05

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.15
Under 1.5	1.61
Over 2.5	4.90
Under 2.5	1.14
Over 1	1.44
Under 1	2.51
Over 2	3.66
Under 2	1.22
Over 0.5	1.22
Under 0.5	3.58

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.93
Under 1.5	1.33
Over 2.5	7.30
Under 2.5	1.06
Over 1	1.94
Under 1	1.75
Over 2	6.15
Under 2	1.06
Over 0.5	1.39
Under 0.5	2.63

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home -1	6.30
Away -1	1.06
Home -0.25	2.11
Away -0.25	1.60
Home +0	1.56
Away +0	2.18
Home +0.25	1.32
Away +0.25	2.92

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.16
Home/Away	1.58
Draw/Away	1.35

Bet ID 33 — Double Chance - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.19
Home/Away	1.43
Draw/Away	1.43

Bet ID 34 — Both Teams Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
Yes	4.40
No	1.16

Bet ID 35 — Both Teams To Score - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Yes	3.28
No	1.27

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.83
Even	1.81

Bet ID 22 — Odd/Even - First Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.01
Even	1.66

Bet ID 23 — Home Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.90
Even	1.75

Bet ID 60 — Away Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.01
Even	1.66

Bet ID 104 — Asian Handicap (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home -1	4.90
Away -1	1.11
Home -0.25	1.97
Away -0.25	1.69
Home +0	1.55
Away +0	2.20
Home +0.25	1.35
Away +0.25	2.79

Bet ID 105 — Home Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.91
Under 0.5	1.74

Bet ID 106 — Away Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	2.31
Under 0.5	1.50

Bet ID 107 — Home Team Total Goals(2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.65
Under 0.5	2.03

Bet ID 108 — Away Team Total Goals(2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.96
Under 0.5	1.70

Bet ID 63 — Odd/Even - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.92
Even	1.73

Betano Updated: 2025-11-23T08:00:53+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.05
Draw	3.15
Away	3.30

Bet ID 2 — Home/Away

Selection	Odds
Home	1.47
Away	2.32

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.37
Draw	2.37
Away	3.50

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -0.25	1.72
Away -0.25	1.90

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.25	1.72
Under 2.25	1.91
Over 2.5	1.93
Under 2.5	1.70

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.42
Under 0.5	2.37
Over 1.0	1.90
Under 1.0	1.67

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	13.50
Home/Away	37.00
Draw/Away	7.10
Draw/Draw	4.65
Home/Home	3.30
Draw/Home	4.80
Away/Home	27.00
Away/Draw	14.00
Away/Away	5.70

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	5.60
2:0	7.40
2:1	6.60
3:0	13.50
3:1	12.00
3:2	19.00
4:0	30.00
4:1	28.00
0:0	8.75
1:1	5.00
2:2	10.50
0:1	7.30
0:2	12.50
0:3	30.00
1:2	8.75
1:3	21.00
2:3	25.00
3:3	40.00
0:4	90.00
1:4	60.00
2:4	75.00
4:2	45.00
0:5	300.00
1:5	200.00
2:5	250.00
3:4	120.00
5:0	80.00
5:1	75.00
5:2	120.00
6:0	250.00
6:1	250.00
6:2	400.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	400.00
5:3	250.00
4:4	250.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.15
1st Half	3.05
2nd Half	1.98

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	3.05
2:0	7.20
2:1	12.00
3:0	22.00
3:1	37.00
3:2	110.00
4:0	90.00
4:1	150.00
0:0	2.37
1:1	5.10
2:2	32.00
0:1	3.90
0:2	11.50
0:3	45.00
1:2	15.50
1:3	60.00
2:3	150.00
0:4	200.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.27
Home/Away	1.29
Draw/Away	1.62

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.67
Draw	2.00
Away	3.90

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home -0.25	2.02
Away -0.25	1.57

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.22
Home/Away	1.65
Draw/Away	1.39

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.85
Even	1.78

Bet ID 109 — Draw No Bet (1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	1.52
Away	2.15

Bet ID 182 — Draw No Bet (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	1.52
Away	2.18

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Orvietana Calcio vs Poggibonsi

Expected goals (λ): Orvietana Calcio = 1.27 (league 1.26), Poggibonsi = 0.82 (league 1.04)

		Poggibonsi
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Orvietana Calcio	0	12.4%	10.1%	4.1%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
	1	15.7%	12.9%	5.3%	1.4%	0.3%	0.0%
	2	10.0%	8.2%	3.4%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	4.2%	3.5%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	1.3%	1.1%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.9% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 23.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Orvietana Calcio	Poggibonsi
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	1