Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.26) 0.72 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.5% 34.0% 26.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.7%
1 - 0
17.8%
0 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Sansepolcro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montevarchi Calcio 0 18.7% 13.5% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.8% 12.9% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.5% 6.2% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMontevarchi CalcioSansepolcro
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack29%14%
Defense57%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Montevarchi Calcio Sansepolcro
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins17%33%25%33%0%17%
Draws50%17%33%33%33%33%
Loses33%50%42%33%67%50%

Form: Montevarchi Calcio: LDLWDDLWDLLW • Sansepolcro: WLDDDDLLLLLW

League goals

Metric Montevarchi Calcio Sansepolcro
HATHAT
GF total5712437
GF avg0.81.21.00.70.50.6
GA total912214913
GA avg1.52.01.80.71.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMontevarchi CalcioSansepolcro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%75%50%67%
1.525%50%8%42%
2.517%33%0%0%
3.50%17%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMontevarchi CalcioSansepolcro
HATHAT
Clean sheets123314
Failed to score325246

Penalties

MetricMontevarchi CalcioSansepolcro
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMontevarchi CalcioSansepolcro
Wins11
Draws24
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-22-31-0—
Biggest losses0-43-01-22-0
Goals For3312
Goals Against4422

Model comparison

MetricMontevarchi CalcioSansepolcro
Form70%30%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total64.7%35.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Montevarchi Calcio or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ Betano
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Montevarchi Calcio = 0.95 (league 1.26), Sansepolcro = 0.72 (league 1.04)

Sansepolcro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montevarchi Calcio 0 18.7% 13.5% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.8% 12.9% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.5% 6.2% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.5% · Draw 34.0% · Away win 26.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1