Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Carraia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.26) 0.29 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.1% 20.5% 5.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.8%
2 - 0
19.9%
0 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 0 13.0% 3.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.8% 6.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.9% 5.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.6% 3.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGhivizzano Borgo MozzanoSan Donato Tavarnelle
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack67%33%
Defense58%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano San Donato Tavarnelle
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins50%43%46%43%50%46%
Draws50%14%31%43%17%31%
Loses0%43%23%14%33%23%

Form: Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano: WLDWDLWWDWWLD • San Donato Tavarnelle: WDWWDLDWWLLWD

League goals

Metric Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano San Donato Tavarnelle
HATHAT
GF total138218614
GF avg2.21.11.61.11.01.1
GA total210126612
GA avg0.31.40.90.91.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGhivizzano Borgo MozzanoSan Donato Tavarnelle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%62%69%69%
1.546%23%31%15%
2.523%8%8%8%
3.58%0%0%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGhivizzano Borgo MozzanoSan Donato Tavarnelle
HATHAT
Clean sheets415224
Failed to score123224

Penalties

MetricGhivizzano Borgo MozzanoSan Donato Tavarnelle
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricGhivizzano Borgo MozzanoSan Donato Tavarnelle
Wins22
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-23-10-2
Biggest losses—3-00-23-0
Goals For5232
Goals Against1323

Model comparison

MetricGhivizzano Borgo MozzanoSan Donato Tavarnelle
Form53%47%
Att67%33%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h75%25%
Goals57%43%
Total63.0%37.0%

Advice: Double chance : Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.08 @ Unibet
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.60 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No1.82 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano = 1.75 (league 1.26), San Donato Tavarnelle = 0.29 (league 1.04)

San Donato Tavarnelle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 0 13.0% 3.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.8% 6.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.9% 5.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.6% 3.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.1% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 5.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1