Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Buitoni
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.26) 1.35 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.5% 28.3% 53.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.9%
0 - 0
13.3%
0 - 2
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Grosseto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sansepolcro 0 13.3% 17.9% 12.1% 5.4% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.9% 12.0% 8.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 3.0% 4.0% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSansepolcroGrosseto
Played55
Form27%87%
Attack25%100%
Defense50%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.614 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sansepolcro Grosseto
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%0%15%71%83%77%
Draws33%43%38%29%0%15%
Loses33%57%46%0%17%8%

Form: Sansepolcro: WLDDDDLLLLLWD • Grosseto: LWWWDWWWWWWWD

League goals

Metric Sansepolcro Grosseto
HATHAT
GF total448161228
GF avg0.70.60.62.32.02.2
GA total410144711
GA avg0.71.41.10.61.20.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSansepolcroGrosseto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%69%100%62%
1.58%38%54%23%
2.50%0%46%0%
3.50%0%15%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSansepolcroGrosseto
HATHAT
Clean sheets314325
Failed to score246000

Penalties

MetricSansepolcroGrosseto
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSansepolcroGrosseto
Wins17
Draws41
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—4-02-4
Biggest losses1-22-0—2-1
Goals For1244
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricSansepolcroGrosseto
Form24%76%
Att18%82%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h20%80%
Goals0%100%
Total27.2%72.8%

Advice: Winner : Grosseto

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.95 @ 1xBet
Draw4.07 @ Pinnacle
Away1.42 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ Marathonbet
No1.65 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sansepolcro = 0.67 (league 1.26), Grosseto = 1.35 (league 1.04)

Grosseto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sansepolcro 0 13.3% 17.9% 12.1% 5.4% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.9% 12.0% 8.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 3.0% 4.0% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.5% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 53.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1